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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 26, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:27Shot by Corvo, saved by Smith
  3. P1 4:46Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  4. P1 5:04Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward
  5. P1 6:18Downie: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Allen, Tlusty, Sutter, Samson · TBL Brewer, Gagne, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos

  6. P1 6:31Shot by Cole, saved by Smith5v4
  7. P1 7:07Goal by Staal (Stillman, McBain)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Corvo, Cole, Staal, McBain · TBL Brewer, Hall, Moore, Lundin

  8. P1 7:27Shot by Hedman, saved by Ward
  9. P1 11:53Thompson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Jokinen, Joslin, McBain, Skinner · TBL Brewer, Gagne, Bergeron, Thompson, Purcell

  10. P1 12:09Shot by Staal, saved by Smith5v4
  11. P1 13:56Goal by St. Louis (Lecavalier)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, Jokinen, Joslin, Bowman, Skinner · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Thompson, Hedman

  12. P1 14:30Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  13. P1 16:22Shot by Jokinen, saved by Smith
  14. P1 17:23Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith
  15. P1 17:36Goal by Gagne, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Corvo, Allen, Cole, Staal · TBL Brewer, Gagne, Thompson, Lundin, Purcell

  16. P1 18:23Shot by Sutter, saved by Smith
  17. P1 18:46Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
  18. P1 19:09Goal by Cole (Stillman, Allen)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Allen, Cole, Harrison, Staal · TBL Brewer, Moore, Bergenheim, Lundin, Downie

  19. P1 19:22Shot by Gleason, saved by Smith
  20. P1 19:58Shot by Ruutu, saved by Smith
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:19Shot by Clark, saved by Ward
  24. P2 0:31Shot by Bowman, saved by Smith
  25. P2 1:00Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  26. P2 1:14Shot by Thompson, saved by Ward
  27. P2 2:30Shot by Downie, saved by Ward
  28. P2 2:53Shot by Sutter, saved by Smith
  29. P2 3:22Shot by LaRose, saved by Smith
  30. P2 3:31Shot by LaRose, saved by Smith
  31. P2 3:44Shot by Dwyer, saved by Smith
  32. P2 5:04Shot by Hall, saved by Ward
  33. P2 5:17Shot by LaRose, saved by Smith
  34. P2 5:20Shot by Bowman, saved by Smith
  35. P2 5:56Shot by Tyrell, saved by Ward
  36. P2 6:27Brewer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Corvo, Allen, Cole, Staal · TBL Brewer, Gagne, Lundin, Downie, Stamkos

  37. P2 7:04Shot by Corvo, saved by Smith5v4
  38. P2 8:30Shot by Joslin, saved by Smith
  39. P2 9:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  40. P2 9:56Shot by McBain, saved by Smith
  41. P2 11:10Shot by Downie, saved by Ward
  42. P2 12:28Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  43. P2 13:22Shot by Staal, saved by Smith
  44. P2 15:50Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  45. P2 15:57Shot by Tlusty, saved by Smith
  46. P2 16:28Cole: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Corvo, Allen, Cole, Staal · TBL Kubina, Gagne, Thompson, Downie, Hedman

  47. P2 17:53Goal by Moore (Lecavalier, St. Louis)4v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Allen, Jokinen, Dwyer · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Moore, Bergeron, Stamkos

  48. P2 17:51Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward4v5
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:14Shot by Bowman, saved by Smith
  52. P3 0:43Shot by Thompson, saved by Ward
  53. P3 1:42Shot by Bergeron, saved by Ward
  54. P3 2:01Shot by Jokinen, saved by Smith
  55. P3 2:38Bowman: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Corvo, Allen, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman · TBL Ohlund, Clark, Bergenheim, Thompson, Tyrell

  56. P3 4:17Shot by Jokinen, saved by Smith4v5
  57. P3 4:31Shot by Lundin, saved by Ward4v5
  58. P3 6:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  59. P3 6:33Shot by Tlusty, saved by Smith
  60. P3 8:11Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
  61. P3 8:10Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Ward
  62. P3 8:20Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
  63. P3 10:11Shot by Skinner, saved by Smith
  64. P3 10:51Shot by LaRose, saved by Smith
  65. P3 11:29Shot by Staal, saved by Smith
  66. P3 12:08Shot by Cole, saved by Smith
  67. P3 12:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  68. P3 13:00Shot by Hall, saved by Ward
  69. P3 15:58Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
  70. P3 16:16Shot by Ruutu, saved by Smith
  71. P3 16:21Shot by Gleason, saved by Smith
  72. P3 16:37Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward
  73. P3 16:43Shot by Sutter, saved by Smith
  74. P3 17:13Sutter: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR LaRose, Joslin, McBain, Sutter, Bowman · TBL Ohlund, Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergenheim

  75. P3 17:13Sutter: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CAR LaRose, Joslin, McBain, Sutter, Bowman · TBL Ohlund, Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergenheim

  76. P3 17:13Brewer: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR LaRose, Joslin, McBain, Sutter, Bowman · TBL Ohlund, Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergenheim

  77. P3 17:13Brewer: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CAR LaRose, Joslin, McBain, Sutter, Bowman · TBL Ohlund, Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergenheim

  78. P3 17:46Shot by Allen, saved by Smith
  79. P3 17:55Shot by Cole, saved by Smith
  80. P3 18:51Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward
  81. P3 19:11Goal by Gagne, unassisted6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Corvo, Cole, LaRose, Staal, McBain · TBL Ohlund, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gagne, Hedman

  82. P3 19:55Moore: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Corvo, Cole, Staal, McBain, Skinner · TBL Ohlund, Hall, Moore, Thompson, Lundin

  83. P3 19:55Skinner: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Stillman, Corvo, Cole, Staal, McBain, Skinner · TBL Ohlund, Hall, Moore, Thompson, Lundin

  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final