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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 26, 2011·RBC Center, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

St. Louis–Lecavalier–StamkosGagne–Thompson–StamkosGagne–Thompson–PurcellSt. Louis–Lecavalier–ThompsonHall–Moore–TyrellMoore–Bergenheim–TyrellGagne–Downie–StamkosMoore–Bergenheim–PurcellMoore–Bergenheim–DownieHall–Bergenheim–TyrellHall–Thompson–TyrellSt. Louis–Lecavalier–HallHall–Bergenheim–DownieGagne–Thompson–DownieLecavalier–Hall–TyrellGagne–Moore–DownieSt. Louis–Moore–BergenheimBrewer–LundinOhlund–ClarkKubina–HedmanBergeron–HedmanBrewer–BergeronClark–HedmanOhlund–BrewerOhlund–HedmanBrewer–Hedman
Stillman–Cole–Staal1:270.12–0.001:190.00–0.220:590.00–0.000:580.00–0.001:020.09–0.191:110.00–0.001:010.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:300.00–0.008:040.27–0.451:350.14–0.010:390.00–0.000:320.00–0.040:310.00–0.000:470.10–0.00
LaRose–Sutter–Bowman5:430.69–0.182:040.10–0.040:310.03–0.000:350.00–0.000:350.08–0.001:470.08–0.033:450.31–0.011:550.00–0.132:240.06–0.030:430.28–0.00
Ruutu–Jokinen–Skinner1:230.03–0.000:470.00–0.000:390.00–0.031:450.00–0.000:380.00–0.010:330.02–0.000:550.02–0.000:470.01–0.030:510.00–0.431:080.02–0.003:050.05–0.152:300.00–0.422:150.10–0.050:340.00–0.020:350.00–0.00
Dwyer–Tlusty–Samson0:370.00–0.000:330.03–0.031:020.00–0.001:180.03–0.001:140.03–0.030:370.00–0.00
Gleason–Harrison5:110.70–0.151:000.00–0.061:530.10–0.031:050.00–0.000:550.01–0.030:360.00–0.392:360.03–0.062:330.30–0.023:060.00–0.521:280.00–0.030:410.28–0.00
Corvo–Allen0:510.00–0.010:400.12–0.001:320.00–0.160:540.00–0.001:270.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:530.00–0.003:200.17–0.224:320.17–0.080:410.00–0.000:590.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:430.10–0.00
Joslin–McBain1:280.03–0.030:510.00–0.001:150.03–0.030:590.02–0.000:310.00–0.000:400.08–0.070:440.00–0.004:250.11–0.002:080.20–0.030:580.00–0.031:240.10–0.051:060.00–0.000:380.00–0.07
Corvo–Gleason1:410.05–0.040:300.03–0.000:570.04–0.000:360.03–0.000:310.01–0.03
Corvo–Joslin0:340.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:330.00–0.080:350.00–0.00
Gleason–McBain0:500.00–0.03
Gleason–Joslin0:320.00–0.000:310.03–0.000:440.03–0.04
Allen–McBain0:340.00–0.000:320.00–0.060:480.00–0.000:320.00–0.06
Harrison–Joslin0:380.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Corvo–Harrison0:390.02–0.001:000.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSutter FBowman FLaRose FStaal FCole FStillman FRuutu FJokinen FSkinner FTlusty FDwyer FSamson FGleason DHarrison DAllen DCorvo DMcBain DJoslin DWard GLecavalier FSt. Louis FThompson FDownie FGagne FStamkos FBergenheim FMoore FTyrell FPurcell FHall FBrewer DLundin DOhlund DClark DKubina DHedman DBergeron DSmith G
CARTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Joe CorvoCAR3424:560:441:4186
Tim GleasonCAR2722:100:491:5024
Mike LundinTBL2721:290:481:4213
Eric BrewerTBL2920:310:421:1522
Martin St. LouisTBL2520:230:491:2540
Eric StaalCAR2420:210:511:4272
Vincent LecavalierTBL2519:530:481:2840
Steven StamkosTBL2719:510:441:2652
Erik ColeCAR2519:470:471:4183
Cory StillmanCAR2519:320:471:4183
Victor HedmanTBL3119:310:381:1237
Jamie McBainCAR2319:090:502:0461
Jay HarrisonCAR2318:420:491:4912
Derek JoslinCAR2818:240:391:1341
Brett ClarkTBL2618:220:421:1124
Jussi JokinenCAR2517:570:431:3641
Adam HallTBL2517:420:421:1537
Simon GagneTBL2617:300:401:3344
Mattias OhlundTBL2917:270:361:1216
Jeff SkinnerCAR2317:110:451:0841
Dominic MooreTBL2716:500:371:1613
Bryan AllenCAR2516:390:401:2163
Nate ThompsonTBL2716:390:371:1327
Chad LaRoseCAR2716:160:361:1022
Brandon SutterCAR2615:560:370:5833
Drayson BowmanCAR2415:010:381:2722
Tuomo RuutuCAR2214:440:401:2941
Dana TyrellTBL2413:330:341:0645
Sean BergenheimTBL2313:080:341:1421
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL1611:280:431:0512
Steve DownieTBL1511:250:461:0912
Teddy PurcellTBL1510:310:421:0414
Pavel KubinaTBL158:530:361:0702
Patrick DwyerCAR178:420:311:0604
Jiri TlustyCAR116:370:360:5602
Jerome SamsonCAR105:150:321:1100