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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 29, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 82% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:15Shot by Butler, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 1:34Goal by Phaneuf (MacArthur, Kulemin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie · BUF Connolly, Montador, Morrisonn, Pominville, Vanek

  4. P1 1:44Shot by Stafford, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 3:48Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  6. P1 5:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  7. P1 5:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  8. P1 6:17Shot by Mancari, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 7:28Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 7:30Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 9:02Shot by Rosehill, saved by Miller
  12. P1 10:27Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  13. P1 11:45Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 12:41Shot by Mancari, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 13:42Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 13:55Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  17. P1 17:46Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  18. P1 18:45Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  19. P1 18:46Goal by Boyce (Kadri, Crabb)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Kadri · BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Morrisonn, Gerbe, Weber

  20. P1 19:13Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  21. P1 19:48Goal by Vanek (Hecht, Stafford)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Bozak · BUF Hecht, Vanek, Stafford, Sekera, Myers

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:28Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  25. P2 1:49Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  26. P2 1:58Shot by Boyce, saved by Miller
  27. P2 2:08Weber: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Crabb, Boyce, Lashoff, Kadri · BUF Connolly, Morrisonn, Pominville, Vanek, Weber

  28. P2 2:59Phaneuf: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · BUF Gaustad, Stafford, Sekera, Myers

  29. P2 2:59Gaustad: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · BUF Gaustad, Stafford, Sekera, Myers

  30. P2 2:59Myers: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak · BUF Gaustad, Stafford, Sekera, Myers

  31. P2 3:45Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller5v3
  32. P2 4:00Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller5v3
  33. P2 4:51Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer5v4
  34. P2 5:06Goal by MacArthur (Kadri, Gunnarsson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, MacArthur, Lashoff, Schenn, Kadri · BUF Connolly, Gaustad, Montador, Stafford, Butler

  35. P2 6:00Shot by Myers, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 6:17Shot by Connolly, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 6:25Goal by Pominville (Connolly, Sekera)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Boyce, Aulie, Kadri · BUF Connolly, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Myers

  38. P2 6:55Goal by Niedermayer (Montador, McCormick)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Bozak · BUF Niedermayer, Boyes, Montador, McCormick, Butler

  39. P2 7:59Shot by Gerbe, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 8:10Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  41. P2 9:26Shot by Kadri, saved by Miller
  42. P2 10:18Shot by Sekera, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 11:18Shot by Montador, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 13:35Goal by Grabovski (Kessel, MacArthur)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Lashoff, Kessel · BUF Niedermayer, Morrisonn, Pominville, McCormick, Weber

  45. P2 13:58Shot by McCormick, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 15:41Shot by Boyce, saved by Miller
  47. P2 16:21Shot by Sekera, saved by Reimer
  48. P2 17:00Shot by Mancari, saved by Reimer
  49. P2 17:20Shot by Niedermayer, saved by Reimer
  50. P2 17:55Shot by Crabb, saved by Miller
  51. P2 18:45Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 2:03Shot by Boyce, saved by Miller
  55. P3 2:46Shot by Aulie, saved by Miller
  56. P3 4:15Shot by Gaustad, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 4:31Gaustad: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Lashoff, Kulemin · BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Mancari, Gerbe, Myers

  58. P3 4:31Komisarek: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Lashoff, Kulemin · BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Mancari, Gerbe, Myers

  59. P3 5:01Stafford: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Grabovski, Gunnarsson, Schenn · BUF Connolly, Montador, Stafford, Butler

  60. P3 5:11Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller4v3
  61. P3 5:00Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller4v4
  62. P3 6:25Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller4v3
  63. P3 6:40Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller5v4
  64. P3 7:39Shot by Stafford, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 8:13Vanek: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Brent, Brown, Aulie, Schenn · BUF Gaustad, Vanek, Sekera, Gerbe, Myers

  66. P3 10:20Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  67. P3 10:52Shot by Boyce, saved by Miller
  68. P3 11:32Shot by Sekera, saved by Reimer5v6
  69. P3 11:32Boyce: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, MacArthur, Boyce, Brown, Gunnarsson · BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Stafford, Sekera, Myers, Ennis

  70. P3 12:03Shot by Butler, saved by Reimer4v5
  71. P3 13:52Shot by McCormick, saved by Reimer
  72. P3 14:03Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  73. P3 14:09Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  74. P3 14:13Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  75. P3 14:17Shot by Mancari, saved by Reimer
  76. P3 14:47Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  77. P3 17:05Weber: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Aulie, Kadri · BUF Niedermayer, McCormick, Gerbe, Weber, Myers

  78. P3 17:26Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller5v4
  79. P3 17:57Bozak: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Aulie, Schenn, Bozak · BUF Montador, Vanek, Stafford, Butler

  80. P3 18:42Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller4v4
  81. P3 18:49Shot by Brown, saved by Miller4v4
  82. P3 19:25Shot by Boyes, saved by Reimer4v6
  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final