Tue, Mar 29, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 82% of the time.
77%
11%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Connolly–Pominville–Vanek | Niedermayer–McCormick–Mancari | Boyes–Stafford–Ennis | Gaustad–Mancari–Gerbe | Hecht–Stafford–Ennis | Boyes–Gaustad–Gerbe | Niedermayer–McCormick–Stafford | Sekera–Myers | Montador–Butler | Morrisonn–Weber | Butler–Myers | Montador–Weber | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacArthur–Grabovski–Kulemin | 4:520.10–0.15 | 1:440.25–0.02 | 1:090.03–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 5:430.26–0.05 | 4:300.00–0.18 | 1:080.06–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.02 | |||
| Lupul–Kessel–Bozak | 1:260.30–0.03 | 2:340.00–0.02 | 1:290.00–0.02 | 2:290.05–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 5:590.07–0.14 | 4:150.38–0.07 | 0:390.03–0.06 | ||||
| Crabb–Boyce–Kadri | 5:110.25–0.21 | 3:180.09–0.05 | 3:120.03–0.16 | 2:150.17–0.01 | 3:590.50–0.10 | 0:350.12–0.00 | ||||||
| Brent–Rosehill–Brown | 0:590.02–0.00 | 1:360.03–0.04 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.02 | 1:530.02–0.00 | 1:490.03–0.04 | 0:500.00–0.02 | |||||
| Crabb–Brent–Kadri | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.16 | ||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Aulie | 8:430.40–0.31 | 2:190.00–0.04 | 1:470.03–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.02 | 7:270.03–0.18 | 5:020.21–0.17 | 1:570.45–0.02 | 0:570.00–0.06 | 0:570.20–0.00 | |||
| Gunnarsson–Schenn | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:440.18–0.05 | 1:340.03–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.02 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 1:460.03–0.00 | 4:180.21–0.13 | 4:370.02–0.28 | 1:340.01–0.00 | |||
| Komisarek–Lashoff | 0:480.02–0.01 | 2:050.00–0.01 | 2:120.09–0.05 | 1:010.03–0.00 | 2:370.00–0.03 | 1:530.06–0.01 | 2:470.25–0.06 | |||||
| Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | 1:360.00–0.16 | 0:330.36–0.00 | 1:150.13–0.00 | 1:030.23–0.14 | 0:440.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Komisarek–Gunnarsson | 1:490.00–0.02 | 0:530.00–0.02 | 1:420.11–0.00 | |||||||||
| Komisarek–Phaneuf | 1:020.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Aulie–Schenn | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 33 | 29:07 | 0:53 | 2:38 | 6 | 6 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 36 | 25:46 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 4 | 6 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 34 | 25:21 | 0:45 | 2:41 | 4 | 5 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 36 | 25:07 | 0:42 | 1:39 | 5 | 8 |
 Chris ButlerBUF | 33 | 23:58 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 5 | 2 |
 Steve MontadorBUF | 33 | 23:52 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 2 | 2 |
 Keith AulieTOR | 29 | 22:33 | 0:47 | 1:40 | 3 | 7 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 25 | 21:37 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 3 | 6 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 24 | 20:53 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 2 | 7 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 24 | 19:35 | 0:49 | 1:42 | 3 | 6 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 21 | 19:20 | 0:55 | 1:39 | 6 | 2 |
 Tim ConnollyBUF | 24 | 18:34 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 4 | 4 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 21 | 18:21 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 5 | 2 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 21 | 18:00 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 5 | 3 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 22 | 17:11 | 0:47 | 1:53 | 4 | 3 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 21 | 17:09 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 3 | 5 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 23 | 16:59 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 3 | 6 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 29 | 15:50 | 0:33 | 1:10 | 0 | 8 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 19 | 15:32 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 1 | 3 |
 Mike KomisarekTOR | 20 | 14:20 | 0:43 | 2:41 | 2 | 3 |
 Brad BoyesBUF | 19 | 13:57 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 6 | 0 |
 Joey CrabbTOR | 17 | 13:30 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 0 | 3 |
 Paul GaustadBUF | 19 | 13:25 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 17 | 13:23 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 6 | 1 |
 Mark MancariBUF | 13 | 11:58 | 0:55 | 1:21 | 3 | 0 |
 Darryl BoyceTOR | 18 | 11:55 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 0 | 3 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 18 | 11:44 | 0:39 | 1:49 | 2 | 0 |
 Matt LashoffTOR | 17 | 11:40 | 0:41 | 1:45 | 1 | 2 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 17 | 11:34 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 |
 Cody McCormickBUF | 16 | 11:24 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |
 Rob NiedermayerBUF | 14 | 10:50 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Tim BrentTOR | 14 | 10:15 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 2 | 1 |
 Shaone MorrisonnBUF | 13 | 8:36 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 1 | 1 |
 Mike BrownTOR | 13 | 7:58 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 3 | 1 |
 Jay RosehillTOR | 9 | 5:51 | 0:39 | 0:57 | 2 | 0 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 6 | 5:48 | 0:58 | 1:25 | 1 | 0 |