Tue, Mar 29, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 82% of the time.
77%
11%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:46 | 0.06 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 25:07 | 0.17 | 50.3% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:58 | 0.03 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:52 | 0.11 | 38.3% | +21.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:37 | 0.19 | 44.3% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:20 | 0.27 | 47.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.04 | 46.2% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.06 | 41.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.03 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.06 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.13 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:58 | 0.18 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.01 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.02 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:24 | 0.05 | 28.9% | +21.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:50 | 0.12 | 26.9% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 8:36 | 0.00 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 5:48 | 0.00 | 53.4% | +14.6 |
| L | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 3.57 | −0.4 | 59:07 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 29:07 | 0.24 | 66.9% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 25:21 | 0.04 | 54.4% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:33 | 0.03 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.55 | 70.7% | +23.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 19:35 | 0.14 | 65.4% | +53.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:21 | 0.64 | 58.5% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.16 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.67 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.09 | 62.2% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.06 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 15:32 | 0.33 | 64.4% | +31.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.00 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.01 | 68.5% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11:55 | 0.49 | 75.4% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.07 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:58 | 0.02 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:51 | 0.03 | 45.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 1.53 | −1.5 | 60:00 |