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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 15, 2011·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Florida Panthers 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 62% of the time.

FLA winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:08Shot by Hedman, saved by Theodore
  3. P1 0:30Shot by Versteeg, saved by Garon
  4. P1 1:26Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Theodore
  5. P1 1:33Shot by Booth, saved by Garon
  6. P1 1:51Shot by Skille, saved by Garon
  7. P1 3:18Carter: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Bradley, Matthias, Carter, Gudbranson · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Bergeron, Jones, Pyatt, Connolly

  8. P1 3:31Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Theodore4v5
  9. P1 3:33Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Theodore4v5
  10. P1 3:35Shot by Malone, saved by Theodore4v5
  11. P1 3:36Shot by Malone, saved by Theodore4v5
  12. P1 5:32Ritola: Elbowing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Campbell, Kopecky, Weiss, Versteeg, Carter · TBL Kubina, Ritola, Downie, Hedman, Connolly

  13. P1 6:15Shot by Kulikov, saved by Garon5v4
  14. P1 6:36Shot by Upshall, saved by Garon5v4
  15. P1 6:41Shot by Upshall, saved by Garon5v4
  16. P1 6:44Shot by Booth, saved by Garon5v4
  17. P1 6:39Shot by Garrison, saved by Garon5v4
  18. P1 7:48Shot by Bergeron, saved by Theodore
  19. P1 8:35Shot by Campbell, saved by Garon
  20. P1 10:48Shot by Ritola, saved by Theodore
  21. P1 10:48Moore: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Goc, Booth, Skille, Garrison, Gudbranson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Thompson, Ritola

  22. P1 11:10Shot by Versteeg, saved by Garon5v4
  23. P1 11:48Goal by Jovanovski (Kopecky, Booth)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Kopecky, Upshall, Booth, Garrison · TBL Clark, Kubina, Jones, Pyatt

  24. P1 12:23Shot by Skille, saved by Garon
  25. P1 12:24Kubina: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Goc, Bergenheim, Skille, Kulikov · TBL Clark, Kubina, Lecavalier, Malone, Downie

  26. P1 14:19Shot by Versteeg, saved by Garon5v4
  27. P1 15:01Shot by Goc, saved by Garon
  28. P1 15:14Lecavalier: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Goc, Bergenheim, Skille, Kulikov · TBL Clark, Kubina, Lecavalier, Malone, Downie

  29. P1 17:38Shot by Ritola, saved by Theodore
  30. P1 19:08Jovanovski: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Garrison · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Hedman

  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:49Shot by Moore, saved by Theodore
  34. P2 2:40Shot by Kopecky, saved by Garon
  35. P2 2:49Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore
  36. P2 3:04Shot by Skille, saved by Garon
  37. P2 3:22Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Garon
  38. P2 4:28Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Garon
  39. P2 6:20Shot by Skille, saved by Garon
  40. P2 6:23Shot by Goc, saved by Garon
  41. P2 6:34Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore
  42. P2 7:46Shot by Kulikov, saved by Garon
  43. P2 9:10Shot by Upshall, saved by Garon
  44. P2 12:16Clark: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Skille, Matthias, Carter, Gudbranson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Ritola, Downie

  45. P2 12:16Gudbranson: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Skille, Matthias, Carter, Gudbranson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Ritola, Downie

  46. P2 12:16Gudbranson: Instigator (2 min)4v4

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Skille, Matthias, Carter, Gudbranson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Ritola, Downie

  47. P2 12:16Gudbranson: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Skille, Matthias, Carter, Gudbranson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Ritola, Downie

  48. P2 12:16Gudbranson: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Skille, Matthias, Carter, Gudbranson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Ritola, Downie

  49. P2 12:16Downie: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v3

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Skille, Matthias, Carter, Gudbranson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Ritola, Downie

  50. P2 12:16Downie: Fighting (5 min)5v3

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Skille, Matthias, Carter, Gudbranson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Ritola, Downie

  51. P2 12:16Downie: Misconduct (10 min)5v3

    On ice: FLA Jovanovski, Skille, Matthias, Carter, Gudbranson · TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Ritola, Downie

  52. P2 12:45Shot by Weiss, saved by Garon
  53. P2 12:47Shot by Weiss, saved by Garon
  54. P2 13:27Shot by Malone, saved by Theodore
  55. P2 13:32Shot by Bergeron, saved by Theodore
  56. P2 13:53Shot by Gilroy, saved by Theodore
  57. P2 14:40Moore: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Goc, Bergenheim, Skille, Kulikov · TBL Brewer, Moore, Bergeron, Ritola, Jones

  58. P2 15:05Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Garon5v4
  59. P2 15:06Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Garon5v4
  60. P2 16:16Shot by Versteeg, saved by Garon5v4
  61. P2 16:21Shot by Weiss, saved by Garon5v4
  62. P2 18:16Shot by Matthias, saved by Garon
  63. P2 19:54Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:43Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Garon
  67. P3 4:19Shot by Thompson, saved by Theodore
  68. P3 6:02Shot by Clark, saved by Theodore
  69. P3 6:33Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodore
  70. P3 8:22Shot by Stamkos, saved by Theodore
  71. P3 8:51Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Theodore
  72. P3 9:35Shot by Connolly, saved by Theodore
  73. P3 9:43Goal by Bergeron (Moore)+30 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kopecky, Goc, Booth, Garrison, Kulikov · TBL Malone, Moore, Bergeron, Thompson, Hedman

  74. P3 11:07Shot by Clark, saved by Theodore
  75. P3 11:44Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Garon
  76. P3 12:57Shot by Bergenheim, saved by Garon
  77. P3 14:20Shot by Jovanovski, saved by Garon
  78. P3 15:42Kubina: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Garrison · TBL Clark, Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos

  79. P3 16:10Shot by Campbell, saved by Garon5v4
  80. P3 16:18Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Garon5v4
  81. P3 17:01Shot by Versteeg, saved by Garon5v4
  82. P3 17:05Goal by Versteeg (Kulikov, Campbell)5v4+36 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Weiss, Fleischmann, Versteeg, Kulikov · TBL Brewer, Hall, Thompson, Hedman

  83. P3 17:44Goal by Bergeron (Kubina, St. Louis)+39 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Weaver, Goc, Upshall, Bergenheim, Garrison · TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Stamkos

  84. P3 19:32Shot by Skille, saved by Garon
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. OT 0:00Period start
  87. OT 1:18Shot by Moore, saved by Theodore4v4
  88. OT 2:05Shot by Kubina, saved by Theodore4v4
  89. OT 2:51Shot by Brewer, saved by Theodore4v4
  90. OT 2:55Shot by Hedman, saved by Theodore4v4
  91. OT 3:39Shot by Stamkos, saved by Theodore4v4
  92. OT 5:00Period end
  93. SO Period start
  94. SO Shot by Versteeg, saved by Garonother
  95. SO Shot by St. Louis, saved by Theodoreother
  96. SO Goal by Goc, unassistedother
  97. SO Shot by Stamkos, saved by Theodoreother
  98. SO Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Theodoreother
  99. SO Period end
  100. SO Final