Tue, Oct 18, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Philadelphia Flyers 7, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 59% of the time.
32%
9%
8%
50%
OTT winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:48 | 0.21 | 82.5% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:17 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 20:59 | 0.10 | 54.1% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.05 | 75.2% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:13 | 0.00 | 44.1% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:20 | 0.12 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:14 | 0.83 | 59.0% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.10 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.27 | 54.1% | +11.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 16:10 | 0.35 | 59.5% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.03 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:43 | 0.44 | 55.6% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.16 | 40.6% | +0.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:21 | 0.39 | 59.4% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 12:27 | 0.04 | 28.6% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.11 | 61.0% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:18 | 0.01 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:40 | 0.12 | 24.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.81 | +0.8 | 59:46 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 25:43 | 0.28 | 52.6% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.14 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:47 | 0.00 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.19 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.03 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.27 | 37.2% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.18 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.19 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:44 | 0.15 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.32 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.02 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:28 | 0.13 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.03 | 36.0% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.50 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:24 | 0.37 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:57 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:20 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 10 | 6 | 4 | .600 | 1.27 | −2.7 | 20:00 | |
| – | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 2.04 | −1.0 | 39:54 |