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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 20, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

New York Islanders 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 82% of the time.

TBL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:03Shot by Okposo, saved by Garon
  3. P1 2:44Shot by Downie, saved by Montoya
  4. P1 2:57Shot by Jones, saved by Montoya
  5. P1 4:00Shot by Tavares, saved by Garon
  6. P1 9:19Shot by Hall, saved by Montoya
  7. P1 9:36Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Montoya
  8. P1 9:41Shot by Connolly, saved by Montoya
  9. P1 10:08Pandolfo: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Bergeron · NYI Staios, Pandolfo, Reasoner, Streit, Martin

  10. P1 11:13Connolly: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Stamkos, Connolly · NYI Rolston, Reasoner, MacDonald, Hamonic

  11. P1 11:48Shot by Hamonic, saved by Garon4v4
  12. P1 12:37Shot by Hall, saved by Montoya4v5
  13. P1 12:39Shot by Hall, saved by Montoya4v5
  14. P1 12:55Shot by Rolston, saved by Garon4v5
  15. P1 14:09Shot by Purcell, saved by Montoya
  16. P1 15:16Shot by Purcell, saved by Montoya
  17. P1 15:17Staios: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos, Hedman · NYI Staios, Streit, Nielsen, Okposo, Grabner

  18. P1 16:31Shot by Bergeron, saved by Montoya5v4
  19. P1 16:32Goal by Malone (Lecavalier, Bergeron)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Bergeron, Stamkos · NYI Pandolfo, Reasoner, Streit, Hamonic

  20. P1 17:09Shot by Tavares, saved by Garon
  21. P1 17:27Shot by Tavares, saved by Garon
  22. P1 18:15Shot by Kubina, saved by Montoya
  23. P1 18:42Shot by Moore, saved by Montoya
  24. P1 18:56Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Montoya
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:35Shot by Hall, saved by Montoya
  28. P2 6:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Montoya
  29. P2 11:11Shot by St. Louis, saved by Montoya
  30. P2 11:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Montoya
  31. P2 12:33Shot by Brewer, saved by Montoya
  32. P2 12:42Shot by Rolston, saved by Garon
  33. P2 13:10Shot by Nielsen, saved by Garon
  34. P2 14:16Shot by Moulson, saved by Garon
  35. P2 15:14Goal by Lecavalier (St. Louis)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Hedman, Connolly · NYI Pandolfo, Reasoner, Okposo, MacDonald, Hamonic

  36. P2 17:31Shot by Gilroy, saved by Montoya
  37. P2 17:43Shot by Okposo, saved by Garon
  38. P2 18:39Shot by Jones, saved by Montoya
  39. P2 19:05Shot by Moore, saved by Montoya
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:59Shot by St. Louis, saved by Montoya
  43. P3 2:26Shot by Martin, saved by Garon
  44. P3 5:25Goal by Stamkos (Purcell)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · NYI Rolston, Mottau, Eaton, Nielsen, Grabner

  45. P3 5:40Shot by Jones, saved by Montoya
  46. P3 5:46Shot by Gilroy, saved by Montoya
  47. P3 6:04Shot by Staios, saved by Garon
  48. P3 6:08Shot by Reasoner, saved by Garon
  49. P3 7:09Shot by Okposo, saved by Garon
  50. P3 7:15Shot by Okposo, saved by Garon
  51. P3 7:45Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Montoya
  52. P3 7:55Goal by Grabner (Streit, Rolston)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Malone, Bergeron, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy · NYI Rolston, Staios, Reasoner, Streit, Grabner

  53. P3 12:05Reasoner: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · NYI Rolston, Reasoner, MacDonald, Hamonic, Martin

  54. P3 12:11Shot by Stamkos, saved by Montoya5v4
  55. P3 12:35Shot by Staios, saved by Garon5v4
  56. P3 13:49Downie: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Clark, Brewer, Malone, Downie, Purcell · NYI Eaton, Nielsen, Okposo, Hamonic

  57. P3 16:59Goal by Clark (Purcell)+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · NYI Staios, Pandolfo, Eaton, Bailey, Martin

  58. P3 0:00Hedman: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Bergeron, Stamkos, Hedman · NYI Mottau, Eaton, Parenteau, Moulson, Tavares

  59. P3 0:00Tavares: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Bergeron, Stamkos, Hedman · NYI Mottau, Eaton, Parenteau, Moulson, Tavares

  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final