Thu, Oct 20, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
New York Islanders 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 82% of the time.
75%
12%
TBL winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 24:06 | 0.01 | 42.9% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:34 | 0.05 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:23 | 0.27 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:06 | 0.00 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.09 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:18 | 0.32 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:39 | 0.25 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.07 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.05 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.00 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.29 | 35.9% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.08 | 33.0% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.00 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.00 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.10 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:20 | 0.00 | 2.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:02 | 0.07 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:14 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.55 | −0.5 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:44 | 0.08 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.07 | 58.1% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.29 | 70.2% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.03 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:39 | 0.41 | 75.0% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.02 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.08 | 68.4% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.06 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.32 | 67.5% | +4.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.09 | 76.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.38 | 67.5% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.04 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:38 | 0.32 | 66.9% | +4.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.10 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 | 0.30 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:54 | 0.65 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:31 | 0.30 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 17 | 16 | 1 | .941 | 1.63 | +0.6 | 60:00 |