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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 20, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa

New York Islanders 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 82% of the time.

TBL winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Parenteau–Moulson–TavaresNielsen–Okposo–GrabnerRolston–Bailey–MartinRolston–Nielsen–GrabnerOkposo–Bailey–MartinReasoner–Okposo–MartinPandolfo–Reasoner–GilliesPandolfo–Reasoner–MartinPandolfo–Grabner–BaileyRolston–Reasoner–GrabnerPandolfo–Bailey–MartinMacDonald–HamonicStaios–StreitMottau–Eaton
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Connolly1:190.08–0.003:280.00–0.170:470.11–0.002:010.02–0.031:090.00–0.016:290.37–0.042:380.00–0.102:430.23–0.13
Malone–Purcell–Stamkos0:420.07–0.002:210.33–0.001:500.03–0.081:480.15–0.150:480.00–0.020:510.00–0.103:040.28–0.042:290.23–0.104:390.18–0.10
Hall–Thompson–Pyatt8:460.44–0.483:560.07–0.115:120.37–0.320:430.07–0.00
Moore–Downie–Jones2:260.00–0.170:420.04–0.000:540.00–0.000:500.16–0.000:470.08–0.080:330.09–0.000:590.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:010.00–0.004:410.21–0.222:420.16–0.04
St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos0:420.02–0.000:350.02–0.00
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Malone0:330.00–0.00
Brewer–Hedman12:000.65–0.500:350.00–0.006:300.36–0.136:140.37–0.322:370.07–0.01
Bergeron–Gilroy1:540.00–0.173:260.08–0.091:500.14–0.081:030.00–0.000:530.08–0.080:480.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:510.00–0.103:340.11–0.004:520.08–0.325:260.14–0.20
Clark–Kubina4:190.04–0.161:440.00–0.002:350.31–0.150:550.00–0.020:420.09–0.000:390.00–0.010:540.05–0.006:110.22–0.054:190.13–0.164:050.43–0.06
Gilroy–Hedman1:030.02–0.031:200.02–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPyatt FHall FThompson FLecavalier FConnolly FSt. Louis FMalone FPurcell FStamkos FDownie FMoore FJones FBrewer DHedman DClark DKubina DBergeron DGilroy DGaron GParenteau FMoulson FTavares FOkposo FGrabner FNielsen FRolston FBailey FMartin FPandolfo FGillies FReasoner FStreit DStaios DHamonic DMacDonald DEaton DMottau DMontoya G
TBLNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mark StreitNYI2524:060:581:5814
Travis HamonicNYI2522:340:541:4633
Victor HedmanTBL2721:440:481:2643
John TavaresNYI2121:231:012:0332
Andrew MacDonaldNYI2521:060:511:4643
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL2320:390:541:4041
Matt MoulsonNYI2220:210:561:5122
PA ParenteauNYI2320:180:531:2642
Martin St. LouisTBL2120:080:581:4860
Eric BrewerTBL2619:480:461:3443
Kyle OkposoNYI2119:390:561:3930
Steve StaiosNYI2519:190:461:2005
Vincent LecavalierTBL2018:390:561:5560
Pavel KubinaTBL2418:290:461:1133
Brett ClarkTBL2518:210:441:0734
Matt GilroyTBL2017:570:541:4022
Steven StamkosTBL1716:531:002:3830
Frans NielsenNYI1916:230:521:2741
Brett ConnollyTBL1916:120:511:4060
Mark EatonNYI2016:110:491:0812
Michael GrabnerNYI1915:550:501:2732
Ryan MaloneTBL1915:440:501:2322
Brian RolstonNYI1915:250:491:2813
Mike MottauNYI2014:370:441:0513
Dominic MooreTBL1613:570:521:1623
Tom PyattTBL1713:400:481:1222
Teddy PurcellTBL1613:380:511:2323
Steve DownieTBL1513:300:541:3524
Nate ThompsonTBL1513:160:531:2921
Josh BaileyNYI1513:070:521:1414
Adam HallTBL1712:540:461:2621
Matt MartinNYI1812:450:431:1423
Blair JonesTBL1210:310:531:1331
Jay PandolfoNYI159:200:371:1213
Marty ReasonerNYI179:020:321:0323
Trevor GilliesNYI53:140:390:5120