Wed, Nov 2, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:53Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller
- P1 0:58Shot by Coburn, saved by Miller
- P1 1:13Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
- P1 1:42Shot by Lilja, saved by Miller
- P1 1:43Goal by Couturier (van Riemsdyk, Lilja)+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Regehr, Boyes, Roy, Kaleta, Weber · PHI Timonen, Lilja, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Couturier
- P1 1:56Goal by van Riemsdyk (Rinaldo)+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Ellis · PHI Lilja, Meszaros, van Riemsdyk, Rinaldo, Couturier
- P1 2:34Shot by Lilja, saved by Miller
- P1 3:44Shot by Roy, saved by Bryzgalov
- P1 4:03Shot by Leopold, saved by Bryzgalov
- P1 5:06Shot by Meszaros, saved by Miller
- P1 5:33Shot by Lilja, saved by Miller
- P1 5:38Shot by Jagr, saved by Miller
- P1 6:23Goal by Hartnell (Giroux, Jagr)+11 pts WP
On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Ellis, Stafford, Weber · PHI Jagr, Hartnell, Carle, Giroux, Gustafsson
- P1 8:29Shot by Boyes, saved by Bryzgalov
- P1 10:36Shot by Roy, saved by Bryzgalov
- P1 10:56Shot by Roy, saved by Bryzgalov
- P1 13:02Shot by Regehr, saved by Bryzgalov
- P1 13:05Holmstrom: Holding (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Vanek, Stafford, Weber, Leino · PHI Shelley, Carle, Rinaldo, Holmstrom, Gustafsson
- P1 14:23Shot by Meszaros, saved by Enroth5v4
- P1 15:01Shot by Leopold, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
- P1 18:57Shot by Meszaros, saved by Enroth
- P1 19:05Shot by Voracek, saved by Enroth
- P1 19:54Shot by Pominville, saved by Bryzgalov
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:40Jagr: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Boyes, Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Myers · PHI Jagr, Timonen, Hartnell, Coburn, Giroux
- P2 2:14Shot by Pominville, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
- P2 2:54Shot by Roy, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
- P2 3:13Shot by Myers, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
- P2 4:11Shot by Stafford, saved by Bryzgalov
- P2 4:23Shot by Giroux, saved by Enroth
- P2 5:15Shot by Sekera, saved by Bryzgalov
- P2 5:44Shot by Hartnell, saved by Enroth
- P2 6:54Shot by Simmonds, saved by Enroth
- P2 7:49Goal by Sekera (Leopold, Adam)+9 pts WP
On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Adam · PHI Shelley, Talbot, Carle, Simmonds, Gustafsson
- P2 8:27Timonen: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Leino · PHI Timonen, Shelley, Coburn, Rinaldo, Holmstrom
- P2 8:55Shot by Pominville, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
- P2 9:22Shot by Myers, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
- P2 9:49Shot by Stafford, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
- P2 11:40Shot by Hartnell, saved by Enroth
- P2 12:27Shot by McCormick, saved by Bryzgalov
- P2 13:05Shot by Pominville, saved by Bryzgalov
- P2 13:46Shot by Myers, saved by Bryzgalov
- P2 15:24Voracek: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Kaleta, Weber, Leino · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Voracek
- P2 18:23Shot by Gaustad, saved by Bryzgalov
- P2 18:46Shot by Kaleta, saved by Bryzgalov
- P2 18:54Shot by Gaustad, saved by Bryzgalov
- P2 19:07Shot by Giroux, saved by Enroth
- P2 0:00Roy: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Weber, Leino · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Giroux, Voracek, Rinaldo
- P2 0:00Weber: Fighting (5 min)3v5
On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Weber, Leino · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Giroux, Voracek, Rinaldo
- P2 0:00Coburn: Fighting (5 min)3v5
On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Weber, Leino · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Giroux, Voracek, Rinaldo
- P2 0:00Rinaldo: Slashing (2 min)3v4
On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Weber, Leino · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Giroux, Voracek, Rinaldo
- P2 0:00Rinaldo: Misconduct (10 min)3v3
On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Weber, Leino · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Giroux, Voracek, Rinaldo
- P2 0:00Weber: Roughing (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Weber, Leino · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Giroux, Voracek, Rinaldo
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:17Shot by Meszaros, saved by Enroth4v5
- P3 2:27Shot by Stafford, saved by Bryzgalov
- P3 3:26Giroux: Roughing (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers · PHI Jagr, Hartnell, Lilja, Meszaros, Giroux
- P3 3:26Kaleta: Roughing (2 min)3v5
On ice: BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers · PHI Jagr, Hartnell, Lilja, Meszaros, Giroux
- P3 3:26Meszaros: Roughing (2 min)4v4
On ice: BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers · PHI Jagr, Hartnell, Lilja, Meszaros, Giroux
- P3 3:26Gaustad: Cross checking (2 min)3v5
On ice: BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers · PHI Jagr, Hartnell, Lilja, Meszaros, Giroux
- P3 3:26Gaustad: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Gaustad, Sekera, Kaleta, Gerbe, Myers · PHI Jagr, Hartnell, Lilja, Meszaros, Giroux
- P3 4:03Shot by Jagr, saved by Enroth4v5
- P3 6:51Shot by Gerbe, saved by Bryzgalov
- P3 7:06Shot by Sekera, saved by Bryzgalov
- P3 7:57Shot by Voracek, saved by Enroth
- P3 8:29Goal by Adam (Vanek, Pominville)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Myers, Adam · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Voracek, Rinaldo, Couturier
- P3 10:42Shot by Voracek, saved by Enroth
- P3 10:54Shot by Couturier, saved by Enroth
- P3 11:05Shot by Jagr, saved by Enroth
- P3 11:09Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Enroth
- P3 13:40Regehr: Elbowing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Regehr, Gaustad, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber · PHI Lilja, Meszaros, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Couturier
- P3 18:42Shot by Pominville, saved by Bryzgalov
- P3 18:54Shot by Myers, saved by Bryzgalov6v5
- P3 19:42Shot by Vanek, saved by Bryzgalov
- P3 19:50Shot by Vanek, saved by Bryzgalov6v4
- P3 19:44Nodl: Elbowing (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Myers · PHI Timonen, Talbot, Coburn, Giroux, Nodl
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final