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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 2, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.

BUF winsPHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Jagr–Hartnell–GirouxTalbot–Nodl–Simmondsvan Riemsdyk–Voracek–CouturierShelley–Rinaldo–HolmstromCarle–GustafssonTimonen–CoburnLilja–MeszarosCarle–MeszarosLilja–CoburnTimonen–MeszarosCoburn–CarleTimonen–Gustafsson
Roy–Stafford–Leino2:300.06–0.182:130.27–0.121:370.04–0.002:060.04–0.003:380.05–0.284:030.04–0.081:000.10–0.001:120.06–0.000:430.00–0.000:540.27–0.00
Pominville–Vanek–Adam1:280.01–0.123:200.07–0.011:490.00–0.092:210.09–0.012:420.04–0.140:510.00–0.000:340.02–0.000:440.00–0.00
Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe3:060.00–0.072:580.00–0.252:060.00–0.001:280.00–0.032:030.00–0.250:320.00–0.03
Boyes–McCormick–Ellis1:540.02–0.000:370.00–0.010:450.02–0.000:400.00–0.002:160.04–0.01
Roy–Ellis–Stafford0:440.00–0.040:430.06–0.001:240.06–0.00
Stafford–Gerbe–Adam0:390.00–0.00
Boyes–Roy–Leino0:320.00–0.00
Stafford–Leino–Adam0:320.00–0.00
Pominville–Gerbe–Adam0:420.04–0.000:300.02–0.00
Sekera–Myers3:520.08–0.153:410.27–0.133:130.00–0.031:060.02–0.005:530.11–0.132:540.00–0.111:370.00–0.041:260.06–0.030:540.27–0.00
Leopold–Ehrhoff1:380.01–0.164:460.12–0.002:540.04–0.301:100.00–0.002:240.02–0.164:530.12–0.002:220.01–0.230:440.02–0.000:500.00–0.00
Regehr–Weber5:460.02–0.271:070.00–0.011:460.02–0.133:190.08–0.043:020.00–0.033:310.14–0.220:390.00–0.00
Regehr–Ehrhoff1:040.00–0.040:420.00–0.020:320.00–0.11
Ehrhoff–Myers0:440.27–0.00
Regehr–Myers0:320.00–0.00
Ehrhoff–Sekera0:550.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStafford FGerbe FAdam FRoy FBoyes FKaleta FMcCormick FGaustad FEllis FLeino FVanek FPominville FSekera DMyers DWeber DRegehr DLeopold DEhrhoff DMiller GEnroth GNodl FSimmonds FTalbot FHartnell FGiroux FJagr FCouturier Fvan Riemsdyk FVoracek FRinaldo FHolmstrom FShelley FCarle DGustafsson DCoburn DLilja DTimonen DMeszaros DBryzgalov G
BUFPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Tyler MyersBUF3126:360:511:4653
Claude GirouxPHI2825:010:542:1749
Derek RoyBUF2324:531:053:1263
Braydon CoburnPHI2823:130:502:5738
Matt CarlePHI2922:450:471:5923
Christian EhrhoffBUF2522:390:542:0830
Kimmo TimonenPHI3222:250:422:5757
Drew StaffordBUF2221:090:581:2962
Scott HartnellPHI2320:330:542:3345
Max TalbotPHI2820:330:442:38311
Jason PominvilleBUF2620:110:471:4462
Ville LeinoBUF2119:510:571:5041
Andrej SekeraBUF2419:470:491:4633
Jaromir JagrPHI2119:090:552:3341
Andrej MeszarosPHI2518:200:441:2514
Erik GustafssonPHI2417:430:441:2911
Jordan LeopoldBUF2117:180:491:2930
Luke AdamBUF2316:510:441:2941
Robyn RegehrBUF2516:390:401:0312
Andreas NodlPHI2415:520:401:3724
Sean CouturierPHI2215:430:431:3413
Jakub VoracekPHI2015:080:451:5910
Nathan GerbeBUF1914:530:471:2241
Thomas VanekBUF1814:510:501:4431
Wayne SimmondsPHI1914:400:461:3723
Andreas LiljaPHI2014:280:431:3422
James van RiemsdykPHI1914:150:451:5911
Mike WeberBUF1912:310:401:0311
Brad BoyesBUF1512:280:501:4431
Paul GaustadBUF1511:460:471:2011
Patrick KaletaBUF1511:400:471:1611
Matt EllisBUF96:290:431:1011
Ben HolmstromPHI104:570:300:5501
Cody McCormickBUF74:200:370:5800
Zac RinaldoPHI93:370:240:5100
Jody ShelleyPHI73:280:300:5101