Wed, Nov 2, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.
48%
11%
10%
30%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:01 | 0.14 | 63.0% | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:13 | 0.02 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:45 | 0.00 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:25 | 0.06 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:33 | 0.37 | 76.9% | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:33 | 0.12 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.32 | 87.8% | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:20 | 0.11 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.01 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.00 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.15 | 71.6% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.30 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.01 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:28 | 0.05 | 83.1% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.01 | 67.7% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:57 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:37 | 0.00 | 32.5% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:28 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.14 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 26:36 | 0.20 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 24:53 | 0.36 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:39 | 0.01 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:09 | 0.06 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:11 | 0.49 | 63.1% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.13 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:47 | 0.08 | 50.5% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.08 | 31.0% | +8.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.04 | 24.9% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.01 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.05 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.32 | 60.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.13 | 11.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:46 | 0.11 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.03 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 6:29 | 0.00 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 4:20 | 0.02 | 15.9% | 0.0 |
| – | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.11 | +1.1 | 52:45 | |
| L | 11 | 8 | 3 | .727 | 0.58 | −2.4 | 6:23 |