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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 4, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Calgary Flames 1, Buffalo Sabres 2

Away

Calgary Flames

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.

BUF winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:33Shot by Bourque, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 4:28Shot by Adam, saved by Karlsson
  4. P1 5:40Shot by Morrison, saved by Enroth
  5. P1 5:53Shot by Boyes, saved by Karlsson
  6. P1 6:18Shot by Gerbe, saved by Karlsson
  7. P1 7:59Goal by Stafford (Roy, Sekera)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Stafford, Sekera, Leino, Myers · CGY Iginla, Jokinen, Bouwmeester, Glencross, Butler

  8. P1 8:16Shot by Moss, saved by Enroth
  9. P1 9:42Sarich: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Sekera, Gerbe, Myers · CGY Morrison, Sarich, Tanguay, Stempniak, Giordano

  10. P1 10:32Shot by Boyes, saved by Karlsson5v4
  11. P1 10:44Shot by Boyes, saved by Karlsson5v4
  12. P1 10:56Shot by Vanek, saved by Karlsson5v4
  13. P1 11:38Shot by Stafford, saved by Karlsson5v4
  14. P1 12:52Shot by Hannan, saved by Enroth
  15. P1 14:27Shot by Moss, saved by Enroth
  16. P1 14:29Shot by Stajan, saved by Enroth
  17. P1 15:14Shot by Giordano, saved by Enroth
  18. P1 16:38Stempniak: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Myers, Adam · CGY Morrison, Tanguay, Bouwmeester, Stempniak, Butler

  19. P1 16:54Shot by Adam, saved by Karlsson5v4
  20. P1 17:15Shot by Gragnani, saved by Karlsson5v4
  21. P1 17:31Shot by Roy, saved by Karlsson5v4
  22. P1 17:39Shot by Glencross, saved by Enroth5v4
  23. P1 18:28Shot by Adam, saved by Karlsson5v4
  24. P1 18:39Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Karlsson
  25. P1 18:40Kostopoulos: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Gragnani, Leino, Adam · CGY Hannan, Kostopoulos, Stempniak, Giordano, Bourque

  26. P1 18:54Shot by Roy, saved by Karlsson5v4
  27. P1 18:53Shot by Boyes, saved by Karlsson5v4
  28. P1 19:13Shot by Boyes, saved by Karlsson5v4
  29. P1 19:14Shot by Myers, saved by Karlsson5v4
  30. P1 19:43Shot by Vanek, saved by Karlsson5v4
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:01Shot by Leino, saved by Karlsson
  34. P2 2:14Shot by Gaustad, saved by Karlsson
  35. P2 2:52Shot by Gerbe, saved by Karlsson
  36. P2 3:03Shot by Gragnani, saved by Karlsson
  37. P2 4:04Shot by Jokinen, saved by Enroth
  38. P2 4:19Shot by Glencross, saved by Enroth
  39. P2 5:42Shot by Gerbe, saved by Karlsson
  40. P2 5:51Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Karlsson
  41. P2 5:56Stafford: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Gragnani, Leino · CGY Sarich, Moss, Giordano, Bourque, Horak

  42. P2 6:48Sekera: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Roy, Vanek, Sekera, Myers · CGY Iginla, Tanguay, Moss, Stempniak, Giordano

  43. P2 6:54Shot by Jokinen, saved by Enroth3v5
  44. P2 7:17Shot by Jokinen, saved by Enroth3v5
  45. P2 7:32Shot by Babchuk, saved by Enroth3v5
  46. P2 7:43Shot by Iginla, saved by Enroth3v5
  47. P2 8:04Shot by Tanguay, saved by Enroth4v5
  48. P2 9:24Shot by Adam, saved by Karlsson
  49. P2 10:32Shot by Jackman, saved by Enroth
  50. P2 11:28Shot by McCormick, saved by Karlsson
  51. P2 13:04Shot by Vanek, saved by Karlsson
  52. P2 13:09Shot by Leopold, saved by Karlsson
  53. P2 13:25Shot by Vanek, saved by Karlsson
  54. P2 14:47Shot by Gragnani, saved by Karlsson
  55. P2 14:54Shot by Ellis, saved by Karlsson
  56. P2 15:31Shot by Regehr, saved by Karlsson
  57. P2 16:21Shot by Roy, saved by Karlsson
  58. P2 16:52Shot by Pominville, saved by Karlsson
  59. P2 17:09Shot by Gerbe, saved by Karlsson
  60. P2 17:43Ellis: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Gragnani, Gerbe · CGY Hannan, Moss, Babchuk, Bourque, Horak

  61. P2 18:34Shot by Giordano, saved by Enroth4v5
  62. P2 18:46Shot by Myers, saved by Karlsson4v5
  63. P2 19:40Shot by Pominville, saved by Karlsson4v5
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:28Shot by Regehr, saved by Karlsson
  67. P3 1:26Shot by Pominville, saved by Karlsson
  68. P3 1:45Goal by Gerbe (Gragnani)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Gaustad, Ehrhoff, Gragnani, Gerbe · CGY Sarich, Stajan, Stempniak, Giordano, Bourque

  69. P3 2:00Shot by Stempniak, saved by Enroth
  70. P3 3:48McCormick: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Ellis, Sekera, Tropp, Myers · CGY Kostopoulos, Jackman, Babchuk, Giordano, Horak

  71. P3 3:48Jackman: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Ellis, Sekera, Tropp, Myers · CGY Kostopoulos, Jackman, Babchuk, Giordano, Horak

  72. P3 4:07Shot by Adam, saved by Karlsson
  73. P3 5:11Shot by Jokinen, saved by Enroth
  74. P3 5:17Shot by Bourque, saved by Enroth
  75. P3 5:25Shot by Horak, saved by Enroth
  76. P3 5:23Shot by Sarich, saved by Enroth
  77. P3 5:31Shot by Horak, saved by Enroth
  78. P3 5:45Goal by Tanguay (Bouwmeester, Stajan)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Gragnani, Adam · CGY Tanguay, Bouwmeester, Stajan, Stempniak, Butler

  79. P3 6:17Shot by Jokinen, saved by Enroth
  80. P3 9:03Shot by Pominville, saved by Karlsson
  81. P3 10:18Shot by Boyes, saved by Karlsson
  82. P3 10:29Shot by Glencross, saved by Enroth
  83. P3 13:05Shot by Iginla, saved by Enroth
  84. P3 15:08Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Karlsson
  85. P3 16:36Shot by Giordano, saved by Enroth
  86. P3 16:49Shot by Babchuk, saved by Enroth
  87. P3 19:46Shot by Glencross, saved by Enroth5v6
  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final