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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 4, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Calgary Flames 1, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.

BUF winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Iginla–Jokinen–GlencrossMoss–Bourque–HorakMorrison–Tanguay–StempniakKostopoulos–Jackman–StajanTanguay–Stajan–StempniakStempniak–Bourque–HorakIginla–Bourque–HorakStajan–Stempniak–BourqueBouwmeester–ButlerHannan–BabchukSarich–GiordanoBabchuk–GiordanoBouwmeester–BabchukBouwmeester–GiordanoHannan–GiordanoHannan–ButlerSarich–HannanHannan–Bouwmeester
Roy–Stafford–Leino5:110.08–0.092:110.04–0.171:200.00–0.000:300.02–0.006:130.08–0.091:160.00–0.001:170.04–0.001:010.00–0.001:060.12–0.17
Boyes–Gaustad–Gerbe4:040.04–0.202:250.11–0.002:040.20–0.080:430.14–0.123:260.19–0.201:590.02–0.152:190.25–0.122:160.00–0.020:410.02–0.06
Pominville–Vanek–Adam0:520.00–0.063:420.22–0.082:460.19–0.031:470.07–0.063:140.16–0.102:190.06–0.132:130.07–0.001:580.23–0.00
McCormick–Ellis–Tropp0:490.00–0.002:140.14–0.141:050.02–0.060:360.00–0.001:200.14–0.001:300.00–0.140:580.01–0.000:330.02–0.000:350.00–0.06
Gaustad–McCormick–Gerbe1:070.15–0.000:560.15–0.00
Stafford–Leino–Adam0:540.14–0.00
Vanek–Gerbe–Adam0:560.00–0.000:560.00–0.00
Gaustad–Stafford–Leino
Regehr–Leopold8:390.09–0.280:550.16–0.001:340.00–0.170:460.00–0.007:390.35–0.241:440.02–0.021:580.00–0.171:540.01–0.020:420.02–0.00
Sekera–Myers1:180.05–0.064:420.07–0.173:160.21–0.111:180.15–0.000:300.00–0.003:060.16–0.082:080.17–0.033:590.18–0.001:400.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:340.02–0.060:430.12–0.17
Ehrhoff–Gragnani3:090.29–0.080:430.01–0.001:500.14–0.002:550.09–0.121:120.16–0.122:110.02–0.063:270.22–0.222:210.22–0.121:240.23–0.000:440.03–0.000:370.00–0.060:340.00–0.00
Leopold–Sekera0:410.00–0.03
Ehrhoff–Myers0:390.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Sekera–Gragnani0:560.00–0.000:560.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRoy FStafford FLeino FVanek FPominville FAdam FBoyes FGaustad FGerbe FEllis FMcCormick FTropp FLeopold DRegehr DSekera DMyers DEhrhoff DGragnani DEnroth GIginla FJokinen FGlencross FBourque FMoss FHorak FMorrison FStempniak FTanguay FJackman FKostopoulos FStajan FBouwmeester DButler DGiordano DSarich DHannan DBabchuk DKarlsson G
BUFCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mark GiordanoCGY2726:070:581:4246
Jay BouwmeesterCGY2923:400:491:3435
Tyler MyersBUF2722:390:501:2852
Jarome IginlaCGY2020:501:032:3341
Jordan LeopoldBUF2420:480:521:3713
Derek RoyBUF2420:120:511:2053
Rene BourqueCGY2119:570:571:4256
Robyn RegehrBUF2319:550:521:3315
Olli JokinenCGY2119:290:561:4241
Chris ButlerCGY2319:100:501:2823
Curtis GlencrossCGY2518:580:461:2637
Christian EhrhoffBUF2118:570:541:4532
Drew StaffordBUF2218:460:511:3243
Anton BabchukCGY2118:270:531:3442
Andrej SekeraBUF2417:590:451:2742
Scott HannanCGY2217:520:491:2636
Jason PominvilleBUF2417:510:451:2063
Ville LeinoBUF2017:490:531:2443
Thomas VanekBUF2317:070:451:2082
Alex TanguayCGY1916:550:532:3343
Paul GaustadBUF2016:440:501:4544
Marc-Andre GragnaniBUF2016:250:491:2952
Brad BoyesBUF1816:180:542:0572
Lee StempniakCGY2115:540:451:3012
Nathan GerbeBUF1815:370:521:2772
Luke AdamBUF1915:290:491:3143
Roman HorakCGY1714:180:501:2935
David MossCGY2013:410:411:0137
Matt StajanCGY2012:550:391:1218
Cory SarichCGY1610:540:411:4315
Tom KostopoulosCGY1310:000:461:1911
Brendan MorrisonCGY118:500:481:1802
Cody McCormickBUF97:480:521:2301
Matt EllisBUF107:170:441:0901
Tim JackmanCGY97:070:471:1210
Corey TroppBUF86:190:471:0501