Fri, Nov 4, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 1, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
57%
9%
8%
26%
BUF winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:07 | 0.05 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:40 | 0.00 | 51.8% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.08 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.16 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:29 | 0.58 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:58 | 0.16 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.12 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:52 | 0.03 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.13 | 23.0% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.06 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.11 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.19 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.26 | 54.3% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.05 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.04 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:50 | 0.08 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:07 | 0.14 | 57.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 44 | 42 | 2 | .955 | 3.13 | +1.1 | 58:56 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:39 | 0.19 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:48 | 0.04 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:12 | 0.30 | 34.9% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.03 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:57 | 0.11 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.27 | 60.5% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.00 | 51.1% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:51 | 0.27 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.16 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:07 | 0.35 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.22 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:25 | 0.14 | 60.0% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 16:18 | 0.34 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:37 | 0.23 | 55.1% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 15:29 | 0.34 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:48 | 0.01 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:17 | 0.12 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:19 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 2.24 | +1.2 | 60:00 |