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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 12, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Ottawa Senators

5

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:34Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 1:55Shot by Frattin, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 4:16Lupul: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak · OTT Kuba, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson, Butler

  5. P1 4:16Winchester: Diving (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak · OTT Kuba, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson, Butler

  6. P1 9:14Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 10:36Brown: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Brown, Gunnarsson · OTT Alfredsson, Konopka, Lee, Karlsson, Da Costa

  8. P1 10:36Konopka: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Brown, Gunnarsson · OTT Alfredsson, Konopka, Lee, Karlsson, Da Costa

  9. P1 10:57Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 12:59Shot by Spezza, saved by Scrivens
  11. P1 15:28Shot by Condra, saved by Scrivens
  12. P1 15:39Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 16:38Shot by Winchester, saved by Scrivens
  14. P1 17:18Goal by Bozak (Kessel, Schenn)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Foligno, Karlsson, Da Costa

  15. P1 19:52Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Scrivens
  16. P1 19:52Da Costa: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Kessel, Gunnarsson · OTT Alfredsson, Lee, Foligno, Cowen, Da Costa

  17. P1 19:58Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson5v4
  18. P1 0:00Shot by Liles, saved by Anderson6v4
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 2:49Cowen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lombardi, Steckel, Frattin, Schenn, Gardiner · OTT Alfredsson, Lee, Foligno, Cowen, Da Costa

  22. P2 3:09Shot by Liles, saved by Anderson5v4
  23. P2 4:14Shot by Grabovski, saved by Anderson5v4
  24. P2 7:12Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson
  25. P2 7:21Shot by Spezza, saved by Scrivens
  26. P2 7:30Shot by Karlsson, saved by Scrivens
  27. P2 7:59Shot by Grabovski, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 8:57Shot by Condra, saved by Scrivens
  29. P2 9:11Goal by Gonchar (Daugavins, Smith)5v6+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Komisarek, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Spezza, Daugavins, Condra, Smith

  30. P2 9:57Shot by Dupuis, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 9:57Lee: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Komisarek, Crabb, Dupuis, Brown · OTT Konopka, Lee, Winchester, Cowen, Butler

  32. P2 10:09Shot by Smith, saved by Scrivens5v4
  33. P2 10:35Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson5v4
  34. P2 12:45Shot by Spezza, saved by Scrivens
  35. P2 13:43Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 14:00Shot by Condra, saved by Scrivens
  37. P2 15:04Shot by Grabovski, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 16:17Bozak: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Komisarek, Lupul, Kessel, Bozak · OTT Kuba, Konopka, Daugavins, Karlsson, Butler

  39. P2 16:19Dupuis: High sticking double minor (4 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Komisarek, Steckel, Dupuis, Gardiner · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Foligno, Karlsson, Da Costa

  40. P2 17:22Shot by Spezza, saved by Scrivens3v5
  41. P2 17:34Shot by Gonchar, saved by Scrivens3v5
  42. P2 17:46Goal by Foligno (Karlsson, Anderson)3v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lombardi, Komisarek, Gardiner · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Foligno, Karlsson

  43. P2 18:33Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson4v5
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:23Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Anderson
  47. P3 0:39Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Anderson
  48. P3 0:48Goal by Smith, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Steckel, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel · OTT Kuba, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson

  49. P3 1:34Shot by Michalek, saved by Scrivens
  50. P3 1:56Shot by Lombardi, saved by Anderson
  51. P3 2:03Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Anderson
  52. P3 3:05Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson
  53. P3 3:25Shot by Condra, saved by Scrivens
  54. P3 4:25Phillips: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Liles, Komisarek, Crabb, Dupuis, Kulemin · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Konopka, Butler, Da Costa

  55. P3 6:17Shot by Liles, saved by Anderson5v4
  56. P3 6:46Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 8:20Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 8:41Phillips: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Daugavins, Condra, Smith

  59. P3 10:18Shot by Condra, saved by Scrivens5v4
  60. P3 11:09Shot by Spezza, saved by Scrivens
  61. P3 15:11Shot by Greening, saved by Scrivens
  62. P3 16:47Shot by Brown, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 16:51Shot by Dupuis, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 16:56Shot by Liles, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 16:58Shot by Lupul, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 17:10Goal by Lupul, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson

  67. P3 17:45Shot by Grabovski, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 18:25Shot by Karlsson, saved by Scrivens
  69. P3 18:30Shot by Smith, saved by Scrivens
  70. P3 18:53Goal by Foligno (Winchester)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Liles, Lombardi, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson

  71. P3 19:18Goal by Michalek, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TOR MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Frattin, Gardiner · OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Greening

  72. P3 19:51Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 19:56Shot by Schenn, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final