Sat, Nov 12, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.
27%
9%
9%
55%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Spezza–Michalek–Greening | Daugavins–Condra–Smith | Alfredsson–Foligno–Winchester | Alfredsson–Foligno–Da Costa | Konopka–Winchester–Butler | Alfredsson–Greening–Da Costa | Kuba–Karlsson | Gonchar–Phillips | Lee–Cowen | Gonchar–Karlsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lupul–Kessel–Bozak | 3:180.07–0.23 | 0:510.55–0.00 | 1:370.03–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 9:350.73–0.24 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.10 | ||
| MacArthur–Grabovski–Kulemin | 2:530.19–0.16 | 2:300.09–0.05 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:540.02–0.01 | 5:180.28–0.21 | |||||
| Crabb–Dupuis–Brown | 1:390.07–0.01 | 1:040.03–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:190.02–0.01 | 1:540.00–0.00 | 3:320.04–0.03 | ||||
| Lombardi–Steckel–Frattin | 0:350.04–0.00 | 1:090.21–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 1:160.01–0.00 | 1:210.23–0.00 | 2:360.03–0.00 | ||
| Lombardi–Grabovski–Kulemin | 1:310.00–0.09 | 0:410.02–0.05 | 2:200.06–0.14 | |||||||
| Steckel–MacArthur–Frattin | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:250.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Schenn–Gardiner | 4:000.12–0.09 | 1:170.02–0.05 | 1:190.03–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 5:120.14–0.09 | 2:220.04–0.05 | 2:380.04–0.00 | |||
| Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | 5:020.11–0.16 | 0:330.07–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.01 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 2:260.01–0.03 | 5:250.21–0.16 | 1:230.01–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |
| Liles–Komisarek | 2:140.00–0.14 | 1:330.20–0.05 | 0:370.00–0.02 | 1:110.02–0.01 | 2:270.04–0.02 | 2:030.20–0.14 | 2:570.02–0.06 | |||
| Gunnarsson–Gardiner | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:460.01–0.13 | 0:450.00–0.04 | 0:360.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Liles–Phaneuf | 0:540.28–0.00 | 0:520.55–0.00 | 1:230.64–0.02 | 0:300.16–0.00 | ||||||
| Phaneuf–Gardiner | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Phaneuf–Schenn | 0:590.04–0.00 | 1:020.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Gunnarsson–Schenn | 0:460.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Liles–Gardiner | ||||||||||
| Liles–Gunnarsson | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 27 | 25:18 | 0:56 | 2:40 | 2 | 3 |
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 34 | 25:17 | 0:45 | 2:13 | 10 | 2 |
 Filip KubaOTT | 31 | 24:14 | 0:47 | 1:46 | 3 | 9 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 29 | 23:50 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 1 | 4 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 34 | 22:24 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 5 | 2 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 31 | 22:24 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 4 | 1 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 23 | 21:25 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 8 | 2 |
 John-Michael LilesTOR | 30 | 21:05 | 0:42 | 1:45 | 6 | 3 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 23 | 20:42 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 8 | 2 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 23 | 20:09 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 8 | 2 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 23 | 19:57 | 0:52 | 1:46 | 4 | 0 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 27 | 19:26 | 0:43 | 1:47 | 1 | 4 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 24 | 18:57 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 4 | 0 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 26 | 18:07 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 3 | 4 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 25 | 18:05 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 4 | 3 |
 Kaspars DaugavinsOTT | 26 | 16:35 | 0:38 | 0:59 | 0 | 5 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 22 | 16:34 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 2 | 4 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 24 | 16:20 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 0 | 8 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 24 | 16:18 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 0 | 8 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 22 | 15:16 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 1 | 0 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 22 | 14:58 | 0:41 | 1:51 | 1 | 3 |
 Jesse WinchesterOTT | 25 | 14:53 | 0:36 | 1:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 22 | 14:20 | 0:39 | 1:47 | 2 | 3 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 18 | 13:49 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 5 | 0 |
 Mike KomisarekTOR | 21 | 13:34 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 24 | 13:33 | 0:34 | 1:25 | 2 | 3 |
 Brian LeeOTT | 19 | 13:27 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 0 | 1 |
 Matthew LombardiTOR | 17 | 12:52 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 4 | 0 |
 David SteckelTOR | 17 | 10:58 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 7 | 1 |
 Matt FrattinTOR | 13 | 9:03 | 0:42 | 1:01 | 4 | 0 |
 Philippe DupuisTOR | 15 | 8:52 | 0:35 | 1:04 | 0 | 1 |
 Joey CrabbTOR | 14 | 8:43 | 0:37 | 0:49 | 0 | 1 |
 Bobby ButlerOTT | 13 | 8:24 | 0:39 | 0:53 | 0 | 0 |
 Mike BrownTOR | 11 | 7:34 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 0 | 0 |
 Stephane Da CostaOTT | 12 | 7:31 | 0:38 | 1:27 | 2 | 1 |
 Zenon KonopkaOTT | 10 | 6:12 | 0:37 | 0:57 | 1 | 0 |