Sat, Nov 12, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.
27%
9%
9%
55%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:18 | 0.21 | 32.7% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:14 | 0.00 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 23:50 | 0.15 | 42.4% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:26 | 0.03 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 18:07 | 0.36 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.61 | 41.5% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:35 | 0.02 | 45.6% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.03 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.17 | 44.8% | +38.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 16:18 | 0.24 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.00 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:53 | 0.06 | 19.7% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.28 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 13:33 | 0.90 | 15.9% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.00 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:24 | 0.08 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:31 | 0.00 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:12 | 0.00 | 36.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.40 | +0.4 | 59:55 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 25:17 | 0.25 | 82.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:24 | 0.06 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:24 | 0.03 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:25 | 0.27 | 69.6% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:05 | 0.41 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:42 | 0.45 | 69.6% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.09 | 68.2% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:57 | 0.37 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:57 | 0.07 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:16 | 0.06 | 52.6% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.00 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.00 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.02 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:03 | 0.22 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:52 | 0.05 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:43 | 0.02 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:34 | 0.05 | 67.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.97 | −1.0 | 59:30 |