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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 17, 2011·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Detroit Red Wings 2, San Jose Sharks 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 80% of the time.

SJS winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Shot by Murray, saved by Howard
  3. P1 2:01Shot by Hudler, saved by Niemi
  4. P1 2:58Shot by Burns, saved by Howard
  5. P1 3:52Shot by Kindl, saved by Niemi
  6. P1 4:19Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Niemi
  7. P1 4:28Shot by Franzen, saved by Niemi
  8. P1 5:18Shot by Kronwall, saved by Niemi
  9. P1 6:17Shot by Emmerton, saved by Niemi
  10. P1 6:36Shot by Cleary, saved by Niemi
  11. P1 7:07Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Niemi
  12. P1 7:29Shot by Kronwall, saved by Niemi
  13. P1 7:31Shot by Kronwall, saved by Niemi
  14. P1 8:28Shot by Mitchell, saved by Howard
  15. P1 12:14Shot by Hudler, saved by Niemi
  16. P1 12:37Shot by Brunnstrom, saved by Niemi
  17. P1 13:06Shot by Desjardins, saved by Howard
  18. P1 13:40Shot by Filppula, saved by Niemi
  19. P1 16:27Shot by Ericsson, saved by Niemi5v6
  20. P1 16:28Demers: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Havlat, Clowe, Vlasic, Demers · DET Lidstrom, Cleary, Zetterberg, Filppula, Hudler, Ericsson

  21. P1 17:12Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Niemi4v5
  22. P1 17:23Goal by Kronwall (Datsyuk, Lidstrom)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski · DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Franzen

  23. P1 17:47Shot by Cleary, saved by Niemi
  24. P1 19:36Demers: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Boyle, Murray, Pavelski, Couture · DET Holmstrom, Datsyuk, Franzen, Kindl, Smith, Brunnstrom

  25. P1 19:48Goal by Pavelski (Thornton, Vlasic)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Vlasic · DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Franzen

  26. P1 19:54Shot by Burns, saved by Howard4v5
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:08Shot by Cleary, saved by Niemi4v5
  30. P2 1:11Shot by Cleary, saved by Niemi4v5
  31. P2 3:26Shot by Cleary, saved by Niemi
  32. P2 3:57Shot by Handzus, saved by Howard
  33. P2 5:08Shot by Murray, saved by Howard
  34. P2 7:24Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Niemi
  35. P2 7:31Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Niemi
  36. P2 8:20Shot by Mitchell, saved by Howard
  37. P2 8:34Shot by Hudler, saved by Niemi
  38. P2 9:30Shot by Vlasic, saved by Howard
  39. P2 9:54Goal by Thornton (Couture, Vlasic)+22 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Boyle, Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture · DET Lidstrom, Cleary, Stuart, Zetterberg, Filppula

  40. P2 10:08Shot by Ericsson, saved by Niemi
  41. P2 12:46Shot by Desjardins, saved by Howard
  42. P2 12:48Goal by Vlasic (Desjardins, Winchester)+13 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Winchester, Murray, Burns, Vlasic, Desjardins · DET Hudler, Ericsson, Helm, Smith, Brunnstrom

  43. P2 13:02Shot by Kronwall, saved by Niemi
  44. P2 13:32Shot by Pavelski, saved by Howard
  45. P2 14:11Shot by Murray, saved by Howard
  46. P2 14:44Shot by Kronwall, saved by Niemi
  47. P2 14:51Holmstrom: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Handzus, White, Mitchell, McGinn, Demers · DET Lidstrom, Holmstrom, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Franzen

  48. P2 14:58Shot by Boyle, saved by Howard5v4
  49. P2 15:12Shot by Boyle, saved by Howard5v4
  50. P2 16:29Shot by Vlasic, saved by Howard5v4
  51. P2 17:02Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Niemi
  52. P2 18:07Shot by Cleary, saved by Niemi
  53. P2 18:16Shot by McGinn, saved by Howard
  54. P2 18:18Goal by Mitchell (Vlasic, McGinn)+5 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Handzus, Burns, Mitchell, Vlasic, McGinn · DET Cleary, Stuart, Zetterberg, Filppula, Kindl

  55. P2 19:19Shot by Brunnstrom, saved by Niemi
  56. P2 19:41Shot by Helm, saved by Niemi
  57. P2 19:53Shot by Vlasic, saved by Howard
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:00Shot by Cleary, saved by Niemi
  61. P3 1:50Shot by Cleary, saved by Niemi
  62. P3 2:45Shot by Emmerton, saved by Niemi
  63. P3 4:28Shot by Havlat, saved by Conklin
  64. P3 5:34Shot by Stuart, saved by Niemi
  65. P3 5:46Shot by Demers, saved by Conklin
  66. P3 7:09Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Niemi
  67. P3 7:15Shot by Kronwall, saved by Niemi
  68. P3 7:34Shot by Stuart, saved by Niemi
  69. P3 8:27Shot by Ericsson, saved by Niemi
  70. P3 9:32Goal by Winchester (Murray)+1 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Winchester, Murray, Vlasic, Desjardins, Demers · DET Hudler, Kindl, Helm, Smith, Brunnstrom

  71. P3 12:04Murray: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Boyle, Murray, Clowe, Mitchell · DET Stuart, Datsyuk, Franzen, Kindl, Abdelkader

  72. P3 13:06Shot by Handzus, saved by Conklin4v5
  73. P3 13:37Shot by Filppula, saved by Niemi4v5
  74. P3 13:38Goal by Cleary (Filppula, Zetterberg)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Murray, Vlasic, Couture, Demers · DET Cleary, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Filppula, Hudler

  75. P3 14:41Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Niemi
  76. P3 15:26Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Niemi
  77. P3 16:22Shot by Vlasic, saved by Conklin
  78. P3 17:14Shot by Pavelski, saved by Conklin
  79. P3 17:15Shot by Pavelski, saved by Conklin
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final