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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 5, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 4

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.

OTT winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:53Shot by Hedman, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:41Connolly: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Konopka, Lee, Winchester, Cowen · TBL Moore, Bergeron, Gervais, Shannon, Connolly

  4. P1 3:40Shot by Gonchar, saved by Roloson5v4
  5. P1 4:44Shot by Rundblad, saved by Roloson
  6. P1 6:04Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 7:21Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Roloson
  8. P1 7:47Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson
  9. P1 8:49Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson
  10. P1 8:55Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson
  11. P1 9:01Shot by Brewer, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 9:16Shot by Malone, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 10:31Shot by Daugavins, saved by Roloson6v5
  14. P1 10:31Brewer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson, Cowen · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy

  15. P1 10:56Shot by Michalek, saved by Roloson5v4
  16. P1 12:43Shot by Stamkos, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 13:02Shot by St. Louis, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 13:59Shot by Cowen, saved by Roloson
  19. P1 14:12Shot by Condra, saved by Roloson
  20. P1 15:26Phillips: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Spezza, Greening, Butler · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Bergeron, Gervais, Stamkos

  21. P1 17:24Shot by Moore, saved by Anderson4v5
  22. P1 17:30Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 18:13Shot by Foligno, saved by Roloson
  24. P1 18:34Shot by Rundblad, saved by Roloson
  25. P1 18:44Shot by Gilroy, saved by Anderson
  26. P1 18:55Shot by Daugavins, saved by Roloson
  27. P1 19:25Shot by Daugavins, saved by Roloson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 1:25Gonchar: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Spezza, Greening, Condra · TBL Brewer, Lecavalier, Malone, Purcell, Gilroy

  32. P2 3:09Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Anderson4v5
  33. P2 3:36Shot by Purcell, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 5:30Shot by Foligno, saved by Roloson
  35. P2 6:42Shot by Gervais, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 7:02Shot by Malone, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 7:35Shot by St. Louis, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 7:59Shot by Downie, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 8:00Shot by Downie, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 10:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 10:44Shot by Daugavins, saved by Roloson
  42. P2 12:22Shot by Connolly, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 13:52Goal by Gervais (Stamkos, Bergeron)+25 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson, Cowen · TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Gervais, Downie, Stamkos

  44. P2 14:05Bergeron: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Konopka, Winchester, Karlsson, Cowen · TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Gervais, Downie, Stamkos

  45. P2 16:46Goal by Smith (Cowen, Daugavins)+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson, Cowen · TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Bergeron, Downie, Stamkos

  46. P2 17:48Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 19:27Shot by Winchester, saved by Roloson
  48. P2 19:32Shot by Neil, saved by Roloson
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:01Shot by Gonchar, saved by Roloson
  52. P3 1:51Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson
  53. P3 2:08Shot by Spezza, saved by Roloson
  54. P3 3:35Goal by St. Louis (Stamkos)+31 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Konopka, Winchester, Karlsson · TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy

  55. P3 3:45Shot by Greening, saved by Roloson
  56. P3 4:06Shot by Spezza, saved by Roloson
  57. P3 5:34Shot by Daugavins, saved by Roloson
  58. P3 5:52Shot by Moore, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 5:57Shot by Gervais, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 6:09Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson5v6
  61. P3 6:10Smith: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Karlsson, Cowen · TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Bergeron, Gervais, Downie, Stamkos

  62. P3 6:55Shot by Gilroy, saved by Anderson4v5
  63. P3 7:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Anderson4v5
  64. P3 7:58Shot by Gonchar, saved by Roloson4v5
  65. P3 8:58Goal by Alfredsson (Spezza, Anderson)+34 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Spezza, Michalek, Rundblad · TBL Brewer, Thompson, Pyatt, Tyrell, Hedman

  66. P3 11:13Shot by Gonchar, saved by Roloson
  67. P3 11:31Shot by Gervais, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 11:51Shot by Connolly, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 12:17Shot by Foligno, saved by Roloson
  70. P3 14:04Shot by Michalek, saved by Roloson
  71. P3 15:33Goal by Foligno (Alfredsson, Winchester)+36 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Lee, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson · TBL Clark, Moore, Purcell, Hedman, Connolly

  72. P3 15:46Shot by Clark, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 15:59Shot by Gilroy, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 16:19Goal by Smith (Gonchar, Phillips)+8 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Phillips, Daugavins, Condra, Smith · TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy

  75. P3 18:21Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson5v6
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final