Mon, Dec 5, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.
53%
10%
9%
29%
OTT winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos | Lecavalier–Malone–Shannon | Thompson–Pyatt–Tyrell | Lecavalier–Malone–Purcell | Moore–Purcell–Connolly | Moore–Shannon–Connolly | St. Louis–Moore–Connolly | Brewer–Gilroy | Clark–Hedman | Bergeron–Gervais | Brewer–Bergeron | Brewer–Hedman | Gervais–Hedman | Clark–Bergeron | Bergeron–Gilroy | Bergeron–Hedman | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daugavins–Condra–Smith | 8:500.52–0.31 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 5:220.19–0.17 | 1:160.01–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.26 | |||||||||||
| Spezza–Greening–Butler | 2:070.22–0.00 | 2:500.04–0.15 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:580.22–0.00 | 3:450.04–0.03 | 1:190.00–0.12 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Alfredsson–Michalek–Foligno | 2:040.05–0.01 | 1:210.02–0.00 | 2:410.02–0.01 | 1:570.08–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.04 | 0:360.10–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Neil–Konopka–Winchester | 0:420.14–0.11 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:450.13–0.00 | 0:410.17–0.02 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Alfredsson–Spezza–Michalek | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:500.11–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:140.11–0.00 | 0:300.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Spezza–Michalek–Greening | 1:090.02–0.03 | 0:440.02–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Neil–Foligno–Winchester | 0:380.04–0.00 | 0:400.17–0.01 | 0:380.04–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Spezza–Greening–Condra | 0:480.00–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||
| Konopka–Winchester–Butler | 0:330.00–0.19 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.19 | 0:450.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Karlsson–Cowen | 10:290.26–0.94 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:030.17–0.01 | 5:230.09–0.05 | 4:100.05–0.63 | 2:540.00–0.28 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Gonchar–Phillips | 0:420.26–0.00 | 5:410.13–0.30 | 1:310.01–0.00 | 3:420.04–0.15 | 3:480.03–0.13 | 4:200.15–0.03 | 2:270.02–0.13 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:410.23–0.17 | |||||||
| Lee–Rundblad | 0:400.04–0.00 | 1:030.13–0.02 | 0:520.13–0.00 | 1:360.04–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Gonchar–Karlsson | 0:510.08–0.11 | |||||||||||||||
| Lee–Cowen | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:190.02–0.00 | 1:170.02–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Karlsson–Rundblad | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:450.02–0.04 | |||||||||||||
| Gonchar–Rundblad | 0:360.08–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Cowen–Rundblad | 0:310.22–0.00 | 0:400.22–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Phillips–Lee | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 28 | 26:22 | 0:57 | 2:50 | 6 | 6 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 28 | 26:05 | 0:56 | 2:08 | 3 | 3 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 27 | 24:20 | 0:54 | 1:50 | 3 | 7 |
 Matt GilroyTBL | 29 | 23:32 | 0:49 | 2:04 | 4 | 1 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 33 | 22:23 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 25 | 22:22 | 0:54 | 1:55 | 6 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 31 | 21:38 | 0:42 | 1:40 | 2 | 8 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 25 | 21:25 | 0:51 | 1:49 | 7 | 4 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 29 | 21:01 | 0:43 | 1:56 | 1 | 5 |
 Steve DownieTBL | 25 | 19:49 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 6 | 4 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 28 | 19:47 | 0:42 | 1:52 | 4 | 4 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 28 | 19:46 | 0:42 | 1:33 | 2 | 4 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 20 | 19:22 | 0:58 | 2:32 | 5 | 2 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 19 | 18:19 | 0:58 | 2:16 | 4 | 3 |
 Kaspars DaugavinsOTT | 25 | 17:47 | 0:43 | 1:43 | 3 | 8 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 25 | 17:36 | 0:42 | 1:37 | 3 | 6 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronTBL | 26 | 17:03 | 0:39 | 1:45 | 9 | 1 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 26 | 16:26 | 0:38 | 1:29 | 4 | 6 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 20 | 16:14 | 0:49 | 1:10 | 5 | 0 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 20 | 15:38 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 5 | 0 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 21 | 14:58 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 3 | 4 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 21 | 14:44 | 0:42 | 1:10 | 3 | 0 |
 Bobby ButlerOTT | 18 | 13:59 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan ShannonTBL | 16 | 13:55 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 17 | 13:25 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 0 | 1 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 20 | 12:55 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 17 | 11:37 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 0 | 4 |
 Jesse WinchesterOTT | 21 | 11:24 | 0:33 | 1:04 | 1 | 4 |
 Brian LeeOTT | 14 | 10:56 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 0 | 0 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 16 | 10:31 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 0 | 3 |
 David RundbladOTT | 15 | 10:22 | 0:41 | 1:28 | 4 | 0 |
 Bruno GervaisTBL | 19 | 10:19 | 0:33 | 1:08 | 7 | 1 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 17 | 9:59 | 0:35 | 1:08 | 2 | 1 |
 Brett ConnollyTBL | 12 | 8:48 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Dana TyrellTBL | 14 | 8:32 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 0 | 0 |
 Zenon KonopkaOTT | 11 | 6:25 | 0:35 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |