Mon, Dec 5, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.
53%
10%
9%
29%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:32 | 0.07 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:23 | 0.02 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:22 | 0.23 | 62.1% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:38 | 0.01 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21:25 | 0.38 | 58.9% | +56.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.75 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:46 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 0.17 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.41 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:03 | 0.07 | 43.9% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.02 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:25 | 0.18 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.05 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:37 | 0.00 | 10.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.00 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 10:19 | 0.05 | 83.6% | +25.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:48 | 0.04 | 8.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:32 | 0.00 | 11.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 3.10 | −0.9 | 58:19 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:22 | 0.12 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 26:05 | 0.12 | 44.6% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:20 | 0.01 | 47.8% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.00 | 65.9% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.15 | 64.1% | +33.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:47 | 0.14 | 47.1% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.29 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.42 | 38.5% | +34.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.23 | 83.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:38 | 0.04 | 90.8% | +69.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.61 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:44 | 0.49 | 91.8% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.02 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11:24 | 0.18 | 45.9% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.04 | 89.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:22 | 0.13 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.12 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:25 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.44 | +0.4 | 59:57 |