Skip to content
Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 7, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Philadelphia Flyers 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 67% of the time.

BUF winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Hecht, saved by Bryzgalov
  3. P1 2:15Shot by Adam, saved by Bryzgalov
  4. P1 3:12Shot by Ellis, saved by Bryzgalov
  5. P1 4:19Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  6. P1 4:39Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Bryzgalov
  7. P1 5:35Shot by Leino, saved by Bryzgalov
  8. P1 5:37Timonen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Finley, Leino, Adam, Kassian · PHI Timonen, Brière, Coburn, Simmonds, Read

  9. P1 6:08Shot by Stafford, saved by Bryzgalov5v4
  10. P1 7:52Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
  11. P1 8:00Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
  12. P1 9:15Shot by Vanek, saved by Bryzgalov
  13. P1 9:32Shot by Pominville, saved by Bryzgalov
  14. P1 9:42Shot by Roy, saved by Bryzgalov
  15. P1 9:58Rinaldo: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Stafford, Finley, Ennis, McNabb · PHI Carle, Bourdon, Rinaldo, Zolnierczyk, Couturier

  16. P1 10:16Goal by Leino (Kassian, Adam)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Sekera, Leino, Adam, Kassian · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Read, Couturier

  17. P1 11:31Shot by Hartnell, saved by Miller
  18. P1 12:26Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller
  19. P1 13:27Finley: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Finley, Leino, Ennis · PHI Timonen, Coburn, van Riemsdyk, Rinaldo, Couturier

  20. P1 13:57Shot by Voracek, saved by Miller4v5
  21. P1 14:00Shot by Voracek, saved by Miller4v5
  22. P1 14:15Shot by Jagr, saved by Miller4v5
  23. P1 14:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller4v5
  24. P1 14:43Shot by Roy, saved by Bryzgalov4v5
  25. P1 16:00Shot by Jagr, saved by Miller
  26. P1 16:17Shot by Carle, saved by Miller
  27. P1 16:24Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  28. P1 16:50Shot by Coburn, saved by Miller
  29. P1 17:27Shot by Talbot, saved by Miller
  30. P1 17:31Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
  31. P1 18:55Goal by Kassian (Sekera)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Gragnani, Leino, Adam, Kassian · PHI Jagr, Carle, Giroux, Bourdon, Read

  32. P1 19:29Meszaros: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Ehrhoff, Stafford, Gragnani, Ennis · PHI Talbot, Carle, Meszaros, Simmonds, Read

  33. P1 19:37Goal by Vanek (Pominville, Roy)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Leino · PHI Timonen, Talbot, Coburn, Giroux

  34. P1 0:00Rinaldo: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Gerbe, Tropp · PHI Carle, Bourdon, Rinaldo, Zolnierczyk, Couturier

  35. P1 0:00Tropp: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Gerbe, Tropp · PHI Carle, Bourdon, Rinaldo, Zolnierczyk, Couturier

  36. P1 19:59Goal by Talbot (Voracek)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Ehrhoff, Ellis, Gerbe, Tropp · PHI Talbot, Carle, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Bourdon

  37. P1 0:00Period end
  38. P2 0:00Period start
  39. P2 2:00Shot by Simmonds, saved by Miller
  40. P2 2:01Shot by Hartnell, saved by Miller
  41. P2 3:10Bourdon: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Stafford, Finley, Gragnani, Gerbe · PHI Carle, Giroux, Bourdon, Zolnierczyk, Couturier

  42. P2 3:10Bourdon: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Stafford, Finley, Gragnani, Gerbe · PHI Carle, Giroux, Bourdon, Zolnierczyk, Couturier

  43. P2 3:10Ellis: Instigator misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Stafford, Finley, Gragnani, Gerbe · PHI Carle, Giroux, Bourdon, Zolnierczyk, Couturier

  44. P2 3:10Ellis: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Stafford, Finley, Gragnani, Gerbe · PHI Carle, Giroux, Bourdon, Zolnierczyk, Couturier

  45. P2 3:10Ellis: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Stafford, Finley, Gragnani, Gerbe · PHI Carle, Giroux, Bourdon, Zolnierczyk, Couturier

  46. P2 3:35Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  47. P2 5:17Goal by Read (Timonen, Giroux)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Leino, Adam, Kassian, McNabb · PHI Timonen, Coburn, Giroux, Simmonds, Read

  48. P2 5:32Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller
  49. P2 8:54Shot by Vanek, saved by Bryzgalov
  50. P2 9:34Shot by Meszaros, saved by Miller
  51. P2 11:54van Riemsdyk: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Finley, Tropp · PHI Timonen, Talbot, Coburn, van Riemsdyk, Simmonds

  52. P2 14:45Goal by Hartnell (Giroux)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Tropp, Leino, Ennis, McNabb · PHI Timonen, Hartnell, Giroux, Simmonds, Bourdon

  53. P2 15:07Shot by Carle, saved by Miller
  54. P2 15:27Shot by Pominville, saved by Bryzgalov
  55. P2 16:28Shot by Tropp, saved by Bryzgalov
  56. P2 17:38Shot by Adam, saved by Bryzgalov
  57. P2 17:48Goal by Jagr (Giroux)+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sekera, Leino, Adam, Kassian, McNabb · PHI Jagr, Hartnell, Coburn, Giroux, Marshall

  58. P2 19:33Shot by Ennis, saved by Bryzgalov
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:42Shot by Kassian, saved by Bryzgalov
  62. P3 5:05Shot by Couturier, saved by Miller
  63. P3 6:09Shot by Talbot, saved by Miller
  64. P3 7:02Shot by Carle, saved by Miller
  65. P3 9:39Shot by Kassian, saved by Bryzgalov
  66. P3 16:21Shot by Stafford, saved by Bryzgalov
  67. P3 16:42Shot by Read, saved by Miller
  68. P3 17:14Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Miller
  69. P3 18:04Shot by Carle, saved by Miller
  70. P3 18:25Goal by Stafford (Pominville, Gragnani)6v5+47 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Stafford, Gragnani · PHI Talbot, Carle, Meszaros, van Riemsdyk, Voracek

  71. P3 19:07Shot by Stafford, saved by Bryzgalov
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 0:18Shot by Coburn, saved by Miller4v4
  75. OT 0:55Shot by Hecht, saved by Bryzgalov4v4
  76. OT 2:01Shot by Hartnell, saved by Miller4v4
  77. OT 2:37Goal by Giroux, unassisted4v4+52 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Gragnani · PHI Hartnell, Carle, Meszaros, Giroux

  78. OT 2:37Period end
  79. OT 2:37Final