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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 7, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Philadelphia Flyers 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 67% of the time.

BUF winsPHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Jagr–Hartnell–GirouxTalbot–van Riemsdyk–VoracekBrière–Simmonds–ReadSimmonds–Read–CouturierRinaldo–Zolnierczyk–CouturierHartnell–Giroux–SimmondsBrière–Rinaldo–ZolnierczykJagr–Hartnell–ReadTimonen–CoburnCarle–BourdonMeszaros–MarshallCarle–MeszarosCoburn–CarleTimonen–MeszarosCoburn–Meszaros
Hecht–Pominville–Vanek5:390.05–0.153:570.22–0.250:550.03–0.000:380.00–0.060:580.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:530.02–0.007:340.09–0.203:350.04–0.181:500.00–0.080:510.00–0.00
Roy–Stafford–Ennis1:400.00–0.004:490.12–0.100:360.00–0.001:490.00–0.001:220.00–0.090:410.06–0.002:540.08–0.153:140.00–0.002:200.02–0.080:360.00–0.021:080.06–0.000:470.00–0.00
Leino–Adam–Kassian3:060.09–0.081:590.00–0.152:540.11–0.000:410.04–0.003:030.09–0.142:300.05–0.263:180.16–0.001:070.00–0.04
Ellis–Gerbe–Tropp0:340.00–0.030:300.00–0.001:260.01–0.000:550.01–0.031:230.00–0.020:390.00–0.00
Roy–Pominville–Stafford0:500.10–0.030:410.10–0.00
Roy–Ennis–Kassian0:480.00–0.001:090.00–0.00
Roy–Tropp–Ennis0:360.02–0.030:390.02–0.00
Ehrhoff–Gragnani1:080.00–0.016:470.07–0.371:100.02–0.002:040.14–0.033:320.14–0.192:390.08–0.003:540.06–0.102:190.00–0.110:470.01–0.000:340.00–0.00
Regehr–Sekera8:000.02–0.301:110.00–0.110:560.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:000.02–0.005:440.04–0.264:260.00–0.161:320.00–0.001:170.04–0.00
Finley–McNabb1:100.04–0.000:370.00–0.062:330.00–0.101:250.00–0.092:010.00–0.060:550.00–0.01
Sekera–McNabb1:420.09–0.030:540.00–0.010:580.02–0.000:300.00–0.001:400.00–0.010:420.00–0.001:500.11–0.000:330.00–0.00
Ehrhoff–Finley1:100.04–0.000:440.01–0.001:050.05–0.000:390.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Regehr–Ehrhoff1:040.00–0.020:340.08–0.020:300.00–0.000:430.08–0.050:590.00–0.020:300.00–0.02
Ehrhoff–McNabb1:140.00–0.000:310.03–0.390:580.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Gragnani–McNabb0:450.00–0.001:270.01–0.000:520.00–0.001:000.00–0.00
Regehr–McNabb0:520.06–0.000:390.06–0.00
Sekera–Finley0:420.00–0.04
Sekera–Gragnani0:350.00–0.060:360.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndVanek FPominville FHecht FEnnis FRoy FStafford FLeino FKassian FAdam FEllis FGerbe FTropp FRegehr DSekera DEhrhoff DGragnani DMcNabb DFinley DMiller GHartnell FGiroux FJagr FTalbot Fvan Riemsdyk FVoracek FSimmonds FRead FBrière FCouturier FZolnierczyk FRinaldo FCoburn DTimonen DCarle DBourdon DMeszaros DMarshall DBryzgalov G
BUFPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Christian EhrhoffBUF3229:180:551:4433
Matt CarlePHI3527:440:481:3252
Braydon CoburnPHI3525:480:441:5066
Andrej SekeraBUF3424:340:431:3435
Claude GirouxPHI3123:050:451:2445
Kimmo TimonenPHI3622:490:381:5567
Jason PominvilleBUF2722:280:501:3574
Marc-Andre GragnaniBUF3022:030:441:3233
Andrej MeszarosPHI3021:120:421:2472
Thomas VanekBUF2420:570:521:2753
Derek RoyBUF2520:480:501:5303
Max TalbotPHI2620:380:481:5353
Jochen HechtBUF2420:130:511:1644
Scott HartnellPHI2419:490:501:3042
Robyn RegehrBUF3219:450:371:1623
Drew StaffordBUF2518:400:451:1922
Jaromir JagrPHI2417:500:451:1651
Brayden McNabbBUF2517:440:431:2417
Matt ReadPHI2417:440:441:1563
Ville LeinoBUF2417:160:431:3652
Jakub VoracekPHI2417:140:431:1441
Tyler EnnisBUF2016:570:511:5322
Wayne SimmondsPHI2016:120:491:2041
Marc-Andre BourdonPHI2216:120:441:1611
James van RiemsdykPHI2415:400:391:1471
Zack KassianBUF2015:360:471:2532
Luke AdamBUF1814:270:481:2431
Sean CouturierPHI2111:520:341:0332
Kevin MarshallPHI1510:170:411:1430
Joe FinleyBUF1510:010:401:1403
Daniel BrièrePHI159:220:371:1041
Corey TroppBUF107:340:451:0302
Harry ZolnierczykPHI126:280:321:1031
Zac RinaldoPHI126:060:310:5631
Matt EllisBUF95:410:380:4602
Nathan GerbeBUF74:420:401:0302