Wed, Dec 7, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 5, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 67% of the time.
23%
10%
9%
58%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27:44 | 0.17 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 25:48 | 0.05 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 3 | 23:05 | 0.34 | 75.2% | +115.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:49 | 0.08 | 53.8% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.02 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.25 | 60.0% | +6.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 19:49 | 0.42 | 77.5% | +23.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.18 | 67.1% | +27.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.17 | 29.9% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.44 | 60.4% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.20 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 83.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:40 | 0.24 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:17 | 0.00 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:28 | 0.08 | 89.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:06 | 0.00 | 86.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 1.71 | −2.3 | 62:37 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 29:18 | 0.11 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 24:34 | 0.00 | 26.7% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.20 | 46.8% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:03 | 0.00 | 39.8% | +47.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:57 | 0.14 | 42.7% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:48 | 0.16 | 46.2% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.10 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:45 | 0.00 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:40 | 0.42 | 52.9% | +47.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.00 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.25 | 30.0% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.01 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.15 | 36.0% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.11 | 32.8% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:01 | 0.00 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 7:34 | 0.02 | 11.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:41 | 0.01 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:42 | 0.00 | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 2.63 | −2.4 | 62:21 |