Thu, Dec 8, 2011·Madison Square Garden, New York
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, New York Rangers 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
41%
44%
NYR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 28:58 | 0.03 | 49.0% | +39.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 27:35 | 0.07 | 56.6% | +39.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 26:59 | 0.58 | 87.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:16 | 0.32 | 72.6% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.12 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:13 | 0.64 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:48 | 0.10 | 86.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.11 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.03 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.24 | 47.4% | +39.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.35 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.47 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.29 | 88.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.03 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:13 | 0.19 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:55 | 0.25 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.07 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:24 | 0.05 | 57.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 3.92 | +1.9 | 65:00 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32:00 | 0.06 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 28:11 | 0.85 | 14.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 27:37 | 0.31 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 26:28 | 0.07 | 37.2% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26:02 | 0.57 | 13.0% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.21 | 62.3% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.24 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.04 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:06 | 0.00 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.51 | 46.7% | +23.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.48 | 42.7% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:39 | 0.23 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:44 | 0.03 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:39 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:05 | 0.31 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:40 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:13 | 0.00 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.93 | +1.9 | 65:00 |