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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 13, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (OT)

Away

Ottawa Senators

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Buffalo Sabres

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:02Shot by Greening, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:09Goal by Michalek (Spezza, Greening)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Szczechura · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson, Cowen

  4. P1 1:34Shot by McNabb, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 1:41McCormick: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Vanek, Gragnani · OTT Konopka, Daugavins, Winchester, Karlsson, Cowen

  6. P1 1:41Konopka: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Ehrhoff, McCormick, Vanek, Gragnani · OTT Konopka, Daugavins, Winchester, Karlsson, Cowen

  7. P1 3:34Shot by Regehr, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 4:08Shot by Neil, saved by Miller
  9. P1 4:13Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  10. P1 4:37Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  11. P1 4:49Shot by Vanek, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 4:50Anderson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Gaustad, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Foligno, Karlsson, Cowen

  13. P1 6:07Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson5v4
  14. P1 6:38Shot by Winchester, saved by Miller5v4
  15. P1 7:19Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  16. P1 8:39Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  17. P1 9:00Shot by Greening, saved by Miller
  18. P1 10:10Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  19. P1 11:26Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 12:10Shot by Sekera, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 14:16Goal by Szczechura (Pominville)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Pominville, Vanek, Sekera, Szczechura · OTT Phillips, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson

  22. P1 15:44Goal by Ennis (Stafford, Roy)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis · OTT Spezza, Greening, Winchester, Cowen, Rundblad

  23. P1 15:59Shot by Kassian, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 16:39Shot by Regin, saved by Miller
  25. P1 18:03Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  26. P1 18:23Shot by Leopold, saved by Anderson
  27. P1 18:32Shot by Regin, saved by Miller
  28. P1 19:02Shot by Szczechura, saved by Anderson
  29. P1 19:48Shot by Leino, saved by Anderson
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:46Shot by Michalek, saved by Miller
  33. P2 2:12Shot by Kassian, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 3:05Shot by Gaustad, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 3:23Shot by Gragnani, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 4:50Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 5:24Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 6:59Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  39. P2 7:22Greening: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Lee, Greening

  40. P2 8:26Shot by Vanek, saved by Anderson5v4
  41. P2 8:56Shot by Roy, saved by Anderson5v4
  42. P2 9:28Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 10:02Shot by Adam, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 10:21Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller
  45. P2 12:04Shot by Phillips, saved by Miller
  46. P2 12:06Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller
  47. P2 12:14Vanek: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Szczechura · OTT Neil, Condra, Smith, Karlsson, Cowen

  48. P2 12:55Shot by Greening, saved by Miller4v5
  49. P2 13:11Shot by Greening, saved by Miller4v5
  50. P2 14:40Shot by Greening, saved by Miller
  51. P2 14:51Shot by Greening, saved by Miller
  52. P2 15:42Shot by Adam, saved by Anderson
  53. P2 16:06Ennis: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Weber, Ennis, Adam · OTT Regin, Foligno, Winchester, Karlsson, Cowen

  54. P2 16:15Shot by Rundblad, saved by Miller4v5
  55. P2 16:20Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller4v5
  56. P2 16:35Shot by Greening, saved by Miller4v5
  57. P2 16:36Shot by Greening, saved by Miller4v5
  58. P2 16:59Shot by Weber, saved by Anderson4v5
  59. P2 18:05Shot by Foligno, saved by Miller4v5
  60. P2 19:22Shot by Condra, saved by Miller
  61. P2 19:46Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller
  62. P2 19:54Stafford: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Stafford, Sekera, Ennis · OTT Alfredsson, Spezza, Lee, Greening, Foligno, Cowen

  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:12Shot by Neil, saved by Miller4v5
  66. P3 0:27Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller4v5
  67. P3 0:50Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Miller4v5
  68. P3 1:16Shot by Regin, saved by Miller4v5
  69. P3 2:12Shot by Roy, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 2:27Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  71. P3 2:33Shot by Daugavins, saved by Miller
  72. P3 4:08Shot by Regin, saved by Miller
  73. P3 7:27Goal by Regin (Lee)+28 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Ehrhoff, Leino, Adam, Kassian · OTT Phillips, Neil, Regin, Lee, Foligno

  74. P3 8:06Shot by Smith, saved by Miller
  75. P3 12:22Shot by Regehr, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 12:46Shot by Vanek, saved by Anderson
  77. P3 13:11Cowen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Vanek, Weber, Szczechura, McNabb · OTT Lee, Daugavins, Condra, Smith, Cowen

  78. P3 13:19Shot by Gragnani, saved by Anderson5v4
  79. P3 14:08Roy: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani, Ennis · OTT Phillips, Lee, Condra, Smith

  80. P3 15:19Shot by Winchester, saved by Miller4v5
  81. P3 15:29Shot by Spezza, saved by Miller4v5
  82. P3 16:00Shot by Cowen, saved by Miller4v5
  83. P3 16:41Shot by Greening, saved by Miller
  84. P3 18:19Shot by Kassian, saved by Anderson
  85. P3 18:40Shot by Kassian, saved by Anderson
  86. P3 0:00Ehrhoff: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Szczechura · OTT Alfredsson, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson, Cowen

  87. P3 0:00Greening: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Szczechura · OTT Alfredsson, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson, Cowen

  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. OT 0:00Period start
  90. OT 0:13Shot by Karlsson, saved by Miller4v4
  91. OT 0:45Goal by Cowen (Karlsson, Spezza)4v4+52 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Stafford, Sekera · OTT Spezza, Regin, Karlsson, Cowen

  92. OT 0:45Period end
  93. OT 0:45Final