Tue, Dec 13, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.
30%
10%
9%
51%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 27:01 | 0.09 | 39.0% | +52.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 26:04 | 0.18 | 43.5% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:28 | 0.03 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 20:38 | 0.28 | 37.9% | +65.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 18:56 | 0.09 | 24.1% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 18:42 | 0.80 | 41.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.29 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.00 | 59.2% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.07 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:58 | 0.26 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.01 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:25 | 0.29 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.01 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.02 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:39 | 0.16 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:05 | 0.08 | 48.1% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:38 | 0.00 | 6.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.11 | +0.1 | 60:39 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:23 | 0.17 | 65.3% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.03 | 83.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:46 | 0.02 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.12 | 60.6% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:21 | 0.17 | 64.2% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:42 | 0.19 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.02 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.01 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.29 | 56.7% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.01 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.07 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.04 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.05 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:52 | 0.46 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:16 | 0.30 | 61.6% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.08 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:46 | 0.08 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:11 | 0.00 | 83.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 44 | 41 | 3 | .932 | 2.67 | −0.3 | 60:45 |