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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 16, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  3. P1 1:40Shot by Frattin, saved by Miller
  4. P1 1:57Shot by Crabb, saved by Miller
  5. P1 3:20Shot by Roy, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 3:43Shot by Szczechura, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 5:17Shot by Frattin, saved by Miller
  8. P1 5:56Shot by Ellis, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 7:39Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 9:22Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  11. P1 9:46Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  12. P1 10:54Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 11:27Shot by Bozak, saved by Miller
  14. P1 11:52Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 12:01Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 15:34Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  17. P1 15:35Ellis: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, McCormick, Ellis, Sekera · TOR Liles, Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Bozak

  18. P1 16:57Shot by Connolly, saved by Miller4v5
  19. P1 17:24Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller4v5
  20. P1 17:44Shot by Ellis, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 18:12Shot by Steckel, saved by Miller
  22. P1 19:03Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  23. P1 19:23Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  24. P1 19:58Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:49Goal by Lupul (Kessel)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Szczechura · TOR Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak

  28. P2 2:17Shot by Roy, saved by Reimer
  29. P2 3:47Gunnarsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Gragnani, Szczechura, Adam, Kassian · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  30. P2 3:56Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer5v4
  31. P2 4:11Goal by Stafford (Vanek, Pominville)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Stafford, Gragnani · TOR Steckel, Dupuis, Schenn, Gardiner

  32. P2 6:01Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  33. P2 6:09Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  34. P2 7:22Roy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Stafford, Gragnani, Weber, Ennis · TOR Connolly, Armstrong, MacArthur, Schenn, Gardiner

  35. P2 7:55Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller4v5
  36. P2 7:56Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller4v5
  37. P2 8:42Shot by Liles, saved by Miller4v5
  38. P2 9:03Goal by Phaneuf (Bozak, Liles)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Ellis, Weber · TOR Liles, Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Bozak

  39. P2 9:22Goal by Vanek (Kassian)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Vanek, Gragnani, Szczechura, Kassian · TOR Connolly, Armstrong, MacArthur, Schenn, Gardiner

  40. P2 12:01Shot by McCormick, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 12:57MacArthur: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Stafford · TOR Armstrong, MacArthur, Grabovski, Schenn, Gardiner

  42. P2 13:04Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer5v4
  43. P2 13:09Dupuis: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Stafford · TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Dupuis, Gunnarsson

  44. P2 13:48Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Reimer5v3
  45. P2 14:08Goal by Ennis (Pominville, Vanek)5v3+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek, Stafford, Ennis · TOR Connolly, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson

  46. P2 15:15Bozak: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Roy, Ehrhoff, Gragnani, Adam, Kassian · TOR Liles, Armstrong, Dupuis, Gardiner, Bozak

  47. P2 16:20Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer5v4
  48. P2 17:01Phaneuf: Boarding (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Roy, Ehrhoff, Sekera, Ennis, Kassian · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson

  49. P2 17:01Phaneuf: Game misconduct (10 min)5v3

    On ice: BUF Roy, Ehrhoff, Sekera, Ennis, Kassian · TOR Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson

  50. P2 18:01Goal by Sekera (Ehrhoff, Ennis)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Ehrhoff, Sekera, Ennis, Adam · TOR Liles, Armstrong, Schenn, Bozak

  51. P2 18:52Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller5v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 2:14Shot by Ellis, saved by Reimer
  55. P3 2:39Shot by Vanek, saved by Reimer
  56. P3 3:26Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  57. P3 4:14Shot by Stafford, saved by Reimer
  58. P3 4:48Shot by Ennis, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 7:15Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  60. P3 8:11Shot by McNabb, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 8:56Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 9:32Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  63. P3 9:41Shot by Sekera, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 9:57Goal by Kulemin, unassistedother+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek · TOR Lupul, Grabovski, Franson, Kulemin, Gunnarsson

  65. P3 10:36Shot by Roy, saved by Reimer
  66. P3 11:20Shot by Schenn, saved by Miller
  67. P3 11:53Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  68. P3 12:43Shot by Pominville, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 13:58Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  70. P3 15:44Goal by Vanek (Roy)+9 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Vanek, Stafford, Gragnani, Weber · TOR Lupul, Grabovski, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Gardiner

  71. P3 16:12Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller
  72. P3 16:15Goal by Grabovski (Gunnarsson, Crabb)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani, Weber, Szczechura · TOR Crabb, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Schenn

  73. P3 17:33Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller
  74. P3 17:46Shot by Franson, saved by Miller
  75. P3 18:36Shot by Ellis, saved by Reimer
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final