Fri, Dec 16, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
36%
10%
9%
46%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 John-Michael LilesD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:15 | 0.17 | 74.4% | +23.5 |
 Carl GunnarssonD · #36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:43 | 0.17 | 53.3% | +7.6 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:02 | 0.00 | 43.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:49 | 0.17 | 58.3% | +23.5 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:54 | 0.13 | 48.6% | +20.3 |
 Joffrey LupulLW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:38 | 0.65 | 59.4% | +20.3 |
 Cody FransonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.01 | 85.1% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:12 | 0.13 | 60.1% | 0.0 |
 Tim ConnollyC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.34 | 39.5% | 0.0 |
 Nikolay KuleminLW · #41 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:23 | 0.64 | 85.1% | +11.5 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiC · #84 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:16 | 0.23 | 64.2% | +7.6 |
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.02 | 19.6% | +23.5 |
 Clarke MacArthurLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:19 | 0.14 | 37.0% | 0.0 |
 Colby ArmstrongRW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 9.4% | 0.0 |
 Matt FrattinRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.25 | 70.1% | 0.0 |
 Joey CrabbRW · #46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.02 | 60.2% | +7.6 |
 David SteckelC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:35 | 0.01 | 36.9% | 0.0 |
 Philippe DupuisC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:40 | 0.00 | 21.5% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#34 | L | 29 | 24 | 5 | .828 | 2.32 | −2.7 | 58:44 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Christian EhrhoffD · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:36 | 0.56 | 20.7% | +13.3 |
 Paul GaustadC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:32 | 0.00 | 23.3% | 0.0 |
 Jordan LeopoldD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:20 | 0.00 | 12.2% | 0.0 |
 Derek RoyC · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:17 | 0.19 | 67.9% | +8.6 |
 Drew StaffordRW · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.28 | 66.3% | +18.1 |
 Mike WeberD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:21 | 0.05 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Thomas VanekLW · #26 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 19:16 | 0.64 | 40.6% | +72.3 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:51 | 0.25 | 49.3% | +35.6 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 18:03 | 0.30 | 26.9% | +40.4 |
 Andrej SekeraD · #44 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.13 | 46.1% | +13.3 |
 Robyn RegehrD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.03 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
 Zack KassianRW · #54 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 54.4% | +23.2 |
 Marc-Andre GragnaniD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.04 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Luke AdamC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.10 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
 Paul SzczechuraC · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.10 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
 Matt EllisLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:24 | 0.11 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
 Cody McCormickC · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:23 | 0.02 | 21.1% | 0.0 |
 Brayden McNabbD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:48 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Ryan Miller#30 | W | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 3.07 | −0.9 | 60:00 |