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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 31, 2011·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:19Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward
  3. P1 2:15Shot by Gleason, saved by Garon
  4. P1 3:22Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis, Downie)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Gervais, Downie, Stamkos · CAR Spacek, Harrison, LaRose, Brent, Bowman

  5. P1 4:20Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
  6. P1 4:37Shot by Dalpe, saved by Garon
  7. P1 5:19Shot by Jokinen, saved by Garon
  8. P1 5:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  9. P1 6:30Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward
  10. P1 7:58Shot by Moore, saved by Ward
  11. P1 8:16Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward
  12. P1 8:39Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward
  13. P1 9:12Shot by Spacek, saved by Garon
  14. P1 9:43Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  15. P1 10:20Shot by Jokinen, saved by Garon
  16. P1 11:17Shot by Pyatt, saved by Ward
  17. P1 13:52Shot by Bergeron, saved by Ward
  18. P1 15:48Shot by Gilroy, saved by Ward
  19. P1 16:00Purcell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Malone, Bergeron, Pyatt, Purcell, Gilroy · CAR Ponikarovsky, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, McBain

  20. P1 16:12Goal by Faulk (Bowman, Staal)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Hall, Pyatt · CAR Spacek, Staal, Bowman, Dalpe, Faulk

  21. P1 18:42Shot by Dalpe, saved by Garon
  22. P1 19:09Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:43Shot by Bowman, saved by Garon
  26. P2 1:09Clark: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Lecavalier, Moore, Wyman, Gilroy · CAR Harrison, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman, Faulk

  27. P2 1:41Shot by Kubina, saved by Ward4v5
  28. P2 1:49Shot by Kubina, saved by Ward4v5
  29. P2 3:08St. Louis: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Gervais, Gilroy · CAR Spacek, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman, Faulk

  30. P2 4:29Goal by Harrison (Staal, McBain)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Pyatt, Stamkos, Gilroy · CAR Ponikarovsky, Harrison, Staal, McBain, Bowman

  31. P2 5:13Shot by Purcell, saved by Ward
  32. P2 5:39Shot by Bergeron, saved by Ward
  33. P2 5:47Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  34. P2 6:08Shot by Ruutu, saved by Garon
  35. P2 6:46Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward
  36. P2 7:08Shot by Staal, saved by Garon
  37. P2 7:13Shot by Dalpe, saved by Garon
  38. P2 8:17Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis, Downie)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Gervais, Downie, Stamkos · CAR Harrison, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman, Faulk

  39. P2 8:32Shot by Clark, saved by Ward
  40. P2 9:04Jokinen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Hall, Jones, Tyrell, Gilroy · CAR Ponikarovsky, Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, McBain

  41. P2 12:11Shot by Nodl, saved by Garon
  42. P2 12:26Shot by Nodl, saved by Garon
  43. P2 14:06Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Garon
  44. P2 14:46Shot by Sutter, saved by Garon
  45. P2 16:52Shot by Brewer, saved by Ward
  46. P2 16:59Shot by Bergeron, saved by Ward
  47. P2 17:55Shot by Bowman, saved by Garon
  48. P2 19:30Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Garon
  49. P2 19:57LaRose: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy · CAR Gleason, LaRose, McBain, Sutter, Bowman

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:43Goal by Stamkos (St. Louis, Malone)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Stamkos · CAR Allen, Gleason, Staal, Sutter

  53. P3 1:05Goal by Purcell (Malone, Clark)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Malone, Bergeron, Pyatt, Purcell, Gilroy · CAR Ponikarovsky, Ruutu, Harrison, Jokinen, Faulk

  54. P3 1:33Shot by Ruutu, saved by Garon
  55. P3 2:03Shot by Jokinen, saved by Garon
  56. P3 4:08Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward
  57. P3 6:00Shot by Hall, saved by Ward
  58. P3 6:12Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Garon
  59. P3 6:51Goal by Downie (Malone, Pyatt)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Malone, Downie, Pyatt · CAR Harrison, Staal, McBain, Bowman, Dalpe

  60. P3 7:06Shot by Sutter, saved by Garon
  61. P3 7:44Shot by Allen, saved by Garon
  62. P3 7:52Brent: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Moore, Bergeron, Gervais, Wyman · CAR Allen, Gleason, Brent, Stewart, Nodl

  63. P3 7:52Moore: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Moore, Bergeron, Gervais, Wyman · CAR Allen, Gleason, Brent, Stewart, Nodl

  64. P3 7:52Ward: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Moore, Bergeron, Gervais, Wyman · CAR Allen, Gleason, Brent, Stewart, Nodl

  65. P3 7:52Lecavalier: Roughing (2 min)4v3

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Moore, Bergeron, Gervais, Wyman · CAR Allen, Gleason, Brent, Stewart, Nodl

  66. P3 8:31Stamkos: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, St. Louis, Downie, Stamkos, Gilroy · CAR Ponikarovsky, Ruutu, Harrison, Jokinen, Faulk

  67. P3 10:21Shot by Staal, saved by Garon4v5
  68. P3 14:18Ponikarovsky: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Bergeron, Gervais, Downie, Stamkos · CAR Ponikarovsky, Ruutu, Harrison, Jokinen, Faulk

  69. P3 14:52Shot by St. Louis, saved by Ward5v4
  70. P3 14:53Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Ward5v4
  71. P3 15:46Shot by Downie, saved by Ward5v4
  72. P3 16:42Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Garon
  73. P3 18:35Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ward
  74. P3 19:12Shot by Bowman, saved by Garon
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final