Sat, Dec 31, 2011·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.
47%
10%
9%
33%
TBL winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ponikarovsky–Ruutu–Jokinen | Staal–Tlusty–Dalpe | LaRose–Sutter–Bowman | Brent–Stewart–Nodl | LaRose–Tlusty–Sutter | Staal–Bowman–Dalpe | Harrison–Faulk | Gleason–McBain | Allen–Spacek | Spacek–McBain | Allen–McBain | Allen–Gleason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos | 2:190.06–0.03 | 5:540.23–0.13 | 2:420.17–0.00 | 0:550.09–0.02 | 9:470.72–0.14 | 2:200.00–0.03 | 0:460.16–0.02 | |||||
| Lecavalier–Moore–Wyman | 3:420.19–0.07 | 0:590.05–0.00 | 2:080.05–0.12 | 1:350.00–0.06 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:190.00–0.06 | 2:400.26–0.00 | 2:320.07–0.18 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||
| Malone–Pyatt–Purcell | 1:090.12–0.00 | 2:390.02–0.33 | 1:380.15–0.13 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:020.03–0.02 | 2:010.10–0.00 | 3:260.28–0.19 | 1:550.00–0.26 | 0:370.03–0.00 | |||
| Hall–Jones–Tyrell | 1:360.02–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:200.03–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:440.03–0.00 | 2:040.02–0.02 | 2:180.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||
| Lecavalier–Malone–Purcell | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:460.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Malone–Jones–Purcell | 0:410.00–0.07 | 0:320.00–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.07 | |||||||||
| Moore–Purcell–Stamkos | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Kubina–Brewer | 2:210.00–0.08 | 7:580.24–0.48 | 1:120.04–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.02 | 0:510.07–0.00 | 5:390.18–0.18 | 4:360.01–0.10 | 3:540.16–0.31 | 1:060.00–0.02 | 0:550.00–0.00 | |
| Clark–Gilroy | 5:590.22–0.08 | 1:240.06–0.00 | 3:310.18–0.12 | 2:230.00–0.07 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 4:200.06–0.03 | 4:400.43–0.07 | 3:560.12–0.18 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:360.07–0.00 | 0:450.02–0.00 | |
| Bergeron–Gervais | 2:300.08–0.07 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 3:570.19–0.14 | 1:500.12–0.02 | 5:370.42–0.06 | 1:460.09–0.16 | 1:380.00–0.02 | 0:360.09–0.01 | ||||
| Kubina–Bergeron | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:520.03–0.00 | 0:570.09–0.02 | 1:090.09–0.06 | 1:050.03–0.09 | 0:520.03–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Pavel KubinaTBL | 31 | 25:43 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 3 | 9 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 30 | 24:13 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 4 | 8 |
 Justin FaulkCAR | 27 | 23:02 | 0:51 | 1:38 | 4 | 4 |
 Jamie McBainCAR | 29 | 21:33 | 0:45 | 1:45 | 5 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 28 | 21:13 | 0:45 | 1:50 | 6 | 4 |
 Jay HarrisonCAR | 29 | 21:12 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 3 | 5 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 30 | 21:06 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 5 | 6 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 25 | 19:55 | 0:48 | 1:50 | 5 | 3 |
 Bryan AllenCAR | 23 | 18:45 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 4 | 7 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 30 | 18:41 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 3 | 7 |
 Matt GilroyTBL | 29 | 18:22 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 1 | 7 |
 Tim GleasonCAR | 28 | 17:49 | 0:38 | 2:15 | 4 | 4 |
 Steve DownieTBL | 24 | 17:32 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 4 | 4 |
 Brandon SutterCAR | 23 | 17:10 | 0:45 | 1:45 | 3 | 4 |
 Marc-Andre BergeronTBL | 25 | 17:04 | 0:41 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Jaroslav SpacekCAR | 21 | 17:01 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 6 | 3 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 20 | 16:51 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 5 | 2 |
 Jiri TlustyCAR | 21 | 16:33 | 0:47 | 1:45 | 3 | 4 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 22 | 16:30 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 4 | 4 |
 Jussi JokinenCAR | 24 | 16:20 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 6 | 3 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 20 | 16:11 | 0:49 | 1:39 | 2 | 3 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 22 | 15:47 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 2 | 5 |
 Alexei PonikarovskyCAR | 25 | 15:45 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 6 | 2 |
 Zac DalpeCAR | 23 | 15:43 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 6 | 3 |
 Tuomo RuutuCAR | 24 | 15:42 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 5 | 2 |
 Drayson BowmanCAR | 18 | 15:42 | 0:52 | 1:51 | 3 | 1 |
 Chad LaRoseCAR | 19 | 14:53 | 0:47 | 1:45 | 3 | 1 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 21 | 12:56 | 0:37 | 1:09 | 3 | 4 |
 Bruno GervaisTBL | 20 | 12:44 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 1 | 2 |
 Adam HallTBL | 18 | 10:45 | 0:36 | 0:58 | 1 | 6 |
 JT WymanTBL | 17 | 10:31 | 0:37 | 0:57 | 1 | 4 |
 Blair JonesTBL | 16 | 10:04 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 1 | 3 |
 Andreas NodlCAR | 13 | 10:03 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Dana TyrellTBL | 15 | 9:27 | 0:38 | 0:58 | 2 | 2 |
 Tim BrentCAR | 13 | 8:47 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 3 | 1 |
 Anthony StewartCAR | 13 | 8:08 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 |