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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 31, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)

Away

Ottawa Senators

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Buffalo Sabres

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 72% of the time.

BUF winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:35Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 3:02Spezza: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, McNabb · OTT Phillips, Neil, Spezza, Konopka, Lee

  4. P1 4:03Shot by Leopold, saved by Anderson5v4
  5. P1 4:06Goal by Boyes (Leopold, Gragnani)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Boyes, Gragnani, Adam · OTT Phillips, Carkner, Condra, Smith

  6. P1 4:33Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  7. P1 5:47Shot by Turris, saved by Enroth
  8. P1 6:51Shot by Michalek, saved by Enroth
  9. P1 8:45Shot by Turris, saved by Enroth
  10. P1 10:44Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Gaustad, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber · OTT Kuba, Neil, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  11. P1 13:02Shot by Neil, saved by Enroth
  12. P1 13:05Shot by Greening, saved by Enroth
  13. P1 13:08Shot by Greening, saved by Enroth
  14. P1 14:18Shot by Boyes, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 14:29Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 14:43Shot by Neil, saved by Enroth
  17. P1 15:58Shot by Gerbe, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 16:26Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  19. P1 16:31Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  20. P1 16:55Konopka: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, McCormick, Weber, Brennan, Adam · OTT Phillips, Spezza, Michalek, Lee, Greening

  21. P1 17:59Shot by Roy, saved by Anderson
  22. P1 18:10Shot by Gerbe, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 18:15Shot by Adam, saved by Anderson
  24. P1 18:34McNabb: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, McCormick, Adam, McNabb · OTT Alfredsson, Carkner, Condra, Turris, Cowen

  25. P1 19:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth4v5
  26. P1 19:31Shot by Greening, saved by Enroth4v5
  27. P1 19:54Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth4v5
  28. P1 19:59Shot by Foligno, saved by Enroth4v5
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:49Shot by Gaustad, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 1:04Shot by Hecht, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 1:55Goal by Carkner (Turris, Condra)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani · OTT Carkner, Condra, Turris, Cowen, Butler

  34. P2 2:05Shot by Butler, saved by Enroth
  35. P2 2:20Shot by Regehr, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 2:32Shot by Roy, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 3:27Goal by Gaustad (Leopold, McNabb)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Ellis, Kaleta, McNabb · OTT Carkner, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Cowen

  38. P2 3:56Cowen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, McCormick, Adam, McNabb · OTT Alfredsson, Carkner, Condra, Turris, Cowen

  39. P2 4:55Shot by Michalek, saved by Enroth5v4
  40. P2 6:15Goal by Neil (Condra, Smith)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Regehr, Boyes, Brennan, Adam · OTT Kuba, Neil, Condra, Smith, Karlsson

  41. P2 7:14Shot by Turris, saved by Enroth
  42. P2 7:56Shot by Hecht, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 8:30Gragnani: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani, Weber · OTT Kuba, Daugavins, Smith, Karlsson, Butler

  44. P2 9:25Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Enroth4v5
  45. P2 9:53Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth4v5
  46. P2 10:23Shot by Butler, saved by Enroth4v5
  47. P2 10:26Regehr: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Stafford, Weber · OTT Lee, Foligno, Smith, Cowen, Butler

  48. P2 11:48Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Enroth4v5
  49. P2 11:54Spezza: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Roy, Stafford, Brennan, McNabb · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Neil, Spezza, Karlsson

  50. P2 12:27Shot by Gragnani, saved by Anderson5v4
  51. P2 13:01Shot by Vanek, saved by Anderson5v4
  52. P2 13:36Shot by Condra, saved by Enroth5v4
  53. P2 13:46Shot by Gerbe, saved by Anderson5v4
  54. P2 13:59Boyes: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Roy, Gerbe, Brennan, McNabb · OTT Alfredsson, Phillips, Carkner, Spezza, Michalek

  55. P2 14:32Shot by Spezza, saved by Enroth4v5
  56. P2 14:44Shot by Michalek, saved by Enroth4v5
  57. P2 15:29Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth4v5
  58. P2 17:14Shot by Condra, saved by Enroth
  59. P2 18:17Shot by Regehr, saved by Anderson
  60. P2 18:57Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  61. P2 19:28Shot by Konopka, saved by Enroth
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:34Shot by Ellis, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 1:42Shot by Foligno, saved by Enroth
  66. P3 1:43Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani, Brennan · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson

  67. P3 1:43Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani, Brennan · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson

  68. P3 1:43Brennan: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani, Brennan · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson

  69. P3 1:43Pominville: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pominville, Vanek, Gragnani, Brennan · OTT Kuba, Neil, Foligno, Smith, Karlsson

  70. P3 1:52Shot by Konopka, saved by Enroth
  71. P3 2:51Shot by Foligno, saved by Enroth
  72. P3 5:02Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  73. P3 6:50Shot by Adam, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 7:38Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  75. P3 8:07Shot by Kaleta, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 8:43Shot by Neil, saved by Enroth
  77. P3 8:49Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  78. P3 11:04Lee: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Ellis, Kaleta, McNabb · OTT Michalek, Lee, Greening, Smith, Cowen

  79. P3 11:11Shot by Condra, saved by Enroth5v4
  80. P3 11:46Shot by Vanek, saved by Anderson5v4
  81. P3 14:34Shot by Leopold, saved by Anderson
  82. P3 16:05Shot by Spezza, saved by Enroth
  83. P3 16:13Gerbe: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Stafford, Gerbe, McNabb · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson

  84. P3 16:19Shot by Michalek, saved by Enroth4v5
  85. P3 16:54Shot by Spezza, saved by Enroth4v5
  86. P3 17:49Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson4v5
  87. P3 18:33Shot by Greening, saved by Enroth
  88. P3 19:16Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  89. P3 19:39Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  90. P3 0:00Period end
  91. OT 0:00Period start
  92. OT 1:12Shot by Kuba, saved by Enroth4v4
  93. OT 1:18Shot by Turris, saved by Enroth4v4
  94. OT 1:32Shot by Roy, saved by Anderson4v4
  95. OT 2:30Shot by Hecht, saved by Anderson4v4
  96. OT 4:47Shot by Spezza, saved by Enroth4v4
  97. OT 5:00Neil: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Gerbe, McNabb · OTT Alfredsson, Neil, Konopka, Foligno

  98. OT 5:00Regehr: Roughing (2 min)4v3

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Gerbe, McNabb · OTT Alfredsson, Neil, Konopka, Foligno

  99. OT 5:00Period end
  100. OT 5:00Konopka: Misconduct (10 min)3v3

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Gerbe, McNabb · OTT Alfredsson, Neil, Konopka, Foligno

  101. SO Period start
  102. SO Shot by Michalek, saved by Enrothother
  103. SO Goal by Boyes, unassistedother
  104. SO Goal by Spezza, unassistedother
  105. SO Goal by Pominville, unassistedother
  106. SO Goal by Alfredsson, unassistedother
  107. SO Shot by Roy, saved by Andersonother
  108. SO Shot by Condra, saved by Enrothother
  109. SO Shot by Stafford, saved by Andersonother
  110. SO Goal by Butler, unassistedother
  111. SO Period end
  112. SO Final