OTT 3 @ BUF 2 · Dec 31, 2011

Sat, Dec 31, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Away

Ottawa Senators

Final

Shootout

Home

Buffalo Sabres

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 72% of the time.

20%

65%

BUF winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Alfredsson–Condra–Turris	Spezza–Michalek–Greening	Spezza–Michalek–Foligno	Neil–Spezza–Michalek	Foligno–Smith–Butler	Konopka–Daugavins–Smith	Alfredsson–Spezza–Michalek	Neil–Greening–Smith	Konopka–Greening–Butler	Kuba–Karlsson	Phillips–Lee	Carkner–Cowen	Lee–Cowen	Phillips–Carkner
Hecht–Pominville–Vanek	4:070.11–0.02	0:430.00–0.00		1:210.00–0.20						6:540.08–0.28	1:270.27–0.00	1:110.02–0.08
Roy–Stafford–Gerbe	3:030.11–0.05	0:480.04–0.00			0:500.05–0.02	0:390.17–0.00		0:360.00–0.02	0:450.00–0.05	2:220.00–0.07	2:340.25–0.10	1:330.11–0.02	1:090.04–0.02	0:430.00–0.00
Gaustad–Ellis–Kaleta	0:410.00–0.03	2:040.10–0.01	1:510.07–0.02	0:510.00–0.03						4:090.04–0.05	1:150.00–0.28	1:000.10–0.03		0:580.03–0.00
Boyes–McCormick–Adam	2:210.08–0.09				0:560.00–0.00	0:360.00–0.00					1:310.04–0.09	1:120.02–0.00	0:510.02–0.00	1:070.00–0.00
Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe				0:350.00–0.00						1:120.00–0.62
Leopold–McNabb	5:590.15–0.06									5:480.10–0.05	1:310.14–0.08	3:360.23–0.02	1:240.02–0.00	0:540.04–0.00
Regehr–Weber	0:440.00–0.09	3:520.10–0.01	1:540.12–0.03	2:470.00–0.22		0:360.00–0.00	1:010.00–0.04			7:580.10–0.28	1:500.02–0.15		0:590.09–0.03	0:560.03–0.00
Gragnani–Brennan	1:210.00–0.06				1:020.02–0.00			1:120.00–0.02		1:070.00–0.07	1:410.19–0.03	1:190.02–0.03	0:450.00–0.02	1:110.00–0.00
Leopold–Gragnani	0:550.11–0.00									0:300.21–0.00	1:130.17–0.22
Weber–McNabb										0:580.00–0.68
Regehr–Leopold	0:390.04–0.00									0:310.00–0.02	0:300.04–0.00
Gragnani–Weber

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Filip KubaOTT	37	33:24	0:54	2:10	8	7
Erik KarlssonOTT	32	30:37	0:57	2:10	10	4
Jordan LeopoldBUF	35	29:57	0:51	2:09	6	7
Jason SpezzaOTT	30	24:38	0:49	1:36	6	2
Mike WeberBUF	33	24:18	0:44	1:21	2	7
Milan MichalekOTT	31	23:09	0:45	1:29	7	1
Robyn RegehrBUF	35	22:13	0:38	1:18	2	9
Brayden McNabbBUF	32	21:55	0:41	1:13	3	6
Daniel AlfredssonOTT	35	21:30	0:37	1:13	6	3
Chris PhillipsOTT	29	20:58	0:43	2:00	2	7
Thomas VanekBUF	21	20:43	0:59	1:52	7	3
Jason PominvilleBUF	23	20:43	0:54	1:52	5	4
Drew StaffordBUF	24	20:04	0:50	1:52	5	2
Jared CowenOTT	28	19:51	0:43	1:33	0	5
Kyle TurrisOTT	26	19:33	0:45	1:13	4	5
Jochen HechtBUF	26	18:30	0:43	1:15	3	7
Derek RoyBUF	25	18:10	0:44	1:08	0	2
Paul GaustadBUF	24	17:31	0:44	1:17	3	8
Marc-Andre GragnaniBUF	22	17:22	0:47	1:46	9	1
Erik CondraOTT	25	17:15	0:41	1:11	3	8
Patrick KaletaBUF	22	16:20	0:45	1:18	2	6
Nathan GerbeBUF	23	15:36	0:41	1:09	3	3
Colin GreeningOTT	21	14:52	0:42	1:20	6	1
Brian LeeOTT	23	14:33	0:38	1:31	1	2
Zack SmithOTT	27	13:59	0:31	1:15	1	5
TJ BrennanBUF	18	12:25	0:41	1:17	3	0
Nick FolignoOTT	26	12:06	0:28	1:08	6	2
Chris NeilOTT	19	11:50	0:37	1:34	4	2
Matt CarknerOTT	19	10:45	0:34	1:00	2	3
Brad BoyesBUF	17	9:59	0:35	1:16	2	0
Bobby ButlerOTT	19	9:07	0:29	1:11	1	1
Matt EllisBUF	14	9:00	0:39	0:52	1	2
Luke AdamBUF	14	8:14	0:35	1:03	2	1
Zenon KonopkaOTT	17	7:29	0:26	1:00	2	8
Cody McCormickBUF	11	7:00	0:38	1:26	2	1
Kaspars DaugavinsOTT	12	5:20	0:27	1:00	1	1

Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)

Who was on the ice

Shift totals