Sat, Dec 31, 2011·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 72% of the time.
20%
65%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 33:24 | 0.03 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 10 | 30:37 | 0.32 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 24:38 | 0.39 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 23:09 | 0.28 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:30 | 0.21 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:58 | 0.02 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.00 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:33 | 0.44 | 40.7% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:15 | 0.15 | 58.8% | +40.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:52 | 1.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.22 | 58.9% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:06 | 0.31 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 11:50 | 0.38 | 85.7% | +20.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.06 | 33.3% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:07 | 0.17 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:29 | 0.06 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:20 | 0.00 | 7.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.57 | +0.6 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29:57 | 0.07 | 65.2% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:18 | 0.00 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:13 | 0.08 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:55 | 0.00 | 35.2% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.42 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.26 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:04 | 0.35 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.11 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | 0.06 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.29 | 24.7% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.06 | 53.7% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.03 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.20 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.14 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 9:59 | 0.34 | 40.0% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:00 | 0.08 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:14 | 0.06 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:00 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 46 | 44 | 2 | .957 | 4.04 | +2.0 | 65:00 |