Sat, Dec 31, 2011·MTS Centre, Winnipeg
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Winnipeg Jets 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
37%
10%
9%
44%
WPG winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27:35 | 0.11 | 42.0% | +38.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:40 | 0.12 | 58.9% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:49 | 0.06 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.25 | 46.3% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:08 | 0.09 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.26 | 54.0% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.17 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.06 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.10 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.17 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:46 | 0.61 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:57 | 0.30 | 55.3% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:10 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:01 | 0.31 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.05 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:06 | 0.03 | 62.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 2.49 | −0.5 | 58:42 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 27:09 | 0.08 | 31.3% | +19.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:14 | 0.07 | 82.3% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:34 | 0.03 | 42.4% | +21.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:33 | 0.56 | 40.8% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:47 | 0.22 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.05 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.07 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.13 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.02 | 88.1% | +20.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 16:06 | 0.72 | 70.8% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 25.9% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.00 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.19 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.27 | 58.3% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.00 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:13 | 0.04 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:54 | 0.04 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:02 | 0.00 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.69 | +0.7 | 59:58 |