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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 6, 2012·RBC Center, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 55% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Hecht, saved by Ward
  3. P1 0:35Shot by Hecht, saved by Ward
  4. P1 0:43Shot by Gerbe, saved by Ward
  5. P1 1:29Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  6. P1 1:51Shot by Gragnani, saved by Ward
  7. P1 2:52Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward
  8. P1 4:43Shot by Sutter, saved by Miller
  9. P1 4:50Shot by LaRose, saved by Miller
  10. P1 5:31Shot by Faulk, saved by Miller
  11. P1 5:45Shot by Kassian, saved by Ward
  12. P1 5:54Shot by Leopold, saved by Ward
  13. P1 6:17Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  14. P1 8:26Shot by Sutter, saved by Miller
  15. P1 9:39Shot by Stafford, saved by Ward
  16. P1 9:45Shot by LaRose, saved by Miller
  17. P1 11:17Shot by Kassian, saved by Ward
  18. P1 12:01Shot by Ruutu, saved by Miller
  19. P1 12:06Shot by Sutter, saved by Miller
  20. P1 12:27Shot by Harrison, saved by Miller
  21. P1 13:00Shot by Brent, saved by Miller
  22. P1 16:13Shot by Hecht, saved by Ward
  23. P1 16:42Shot by Stafford, saved by Ward
  24. P1 17:20Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Miller
  25. P1 18:08Shot by Pominville, saved by Ward
  26. P1 19:14Shot by McBain, saved by Miller
  27. P1 19:40Shot by Ponikarovsky, saved by Miller
  28. P1 19:59Shot by Stewart, saved by Miller
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:07Shot by Bowman, saved by Miller
  32. P2 2:32Weber: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Spacek, Stewart, Sutter, Nodl · BUF Boyes, Stafford, Gragnani, Weber, Adam

  33. P2 2:39Goal by Faulk (Jokinen, Staal)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Ruutu, Jokinen, Staal, Faulk · BUF Gaustad, Kaleta, Myers, McNabb

  34. P2 3:00Goal by Vanek (Pominville, Hecht)+20 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Harrison, LaRose, Sutter, Bowman, Faulk · BUF Hecht, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, McNabb

  35. P2 2:57Shot by Hecht, saved by Ward
  36. P2 5:14Shot by Boyes, saved by Ward
  37. P2 6:55Allen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Allen, Spacek, Ruutu, Jokinen, Staal · BUF Regehr, Leopold, Ellis, Kaleta, Adam

  38. P2 7:27Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward4v5
  39. P2 7:57Shot by LaRose, saved by Miller4v5
  40. P2 8:43Shot by Gragnani, saved by Ward4v5
  41. P2 9:07Shot by Hecht, saved by Ward
  42. P2 11:44Shot by Spacek, saved by Miller
  43. P2 13:37Shot by Myers, saved by Ward
  44. P2 13:57Shot by Faulk, saved by Miller
  45. P2 14:38Shot by Nodl, saved by Miller
  46. P2 15:21Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  47. P2 15:22Myers: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Staal, McBain · BUF Boyes, Pominville, Vanek, Myers, McNabb

  48. P2 15:48Shot by Jokinen, saved by Miller5v4
  49. P2 17:48Shot by Boyes, saved by Ward
  50. P2 19:57Shot by Leopold, saved by Ward
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:42Shot by Gerbe, saved by Ward
  54. P3 1:11Goal by Staal (Ruutu, Gleason)+26 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Staal, McBain · BUF Regehr, Leopold, Boyes, Stafford, Gerbe

  55. P3 2:12Shot by Adam, saved by Ward
  56. P3 3:45Shot by Bowman, saved by Miller
  57. P3 4:36Shot by Ellis, saved by Ward
  58. P3 4:46Shot by Ellis, saved by Ward
  59. P3 4:56Shot by LaRose, saved by Miller
  60. P3 5:53Shot by McBain, saved by Miller
  61. P3 6:12Goal by Pominville, unassisted+28 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Ruutu, Gleason, Jokinen, Staal, McBain · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek

  62. P3 6:34Shot by Weber, saved by Ward
  63. P3 7:26Shot by Stafford, saved by Ward
  64. P3 7:50Gerbe: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Jokinen, Brent, Tlusty, McBain, Faulk · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Leopold, Pominville, Gerbe

  65. P3 7:50Jokinen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Jokinen, Brent, Tlusty, McBain, Faulk · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Leopold, Pominville, Gerbe

  66. P3 8:10Goal by LaRose, unassisted4v4+29 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gleason, LaRose, McBain, Sutter · BUF Hecht, Regehr, Leopold, Vanek

  67. P3 9:19Shot by McBain, saved by Miller4v4
  68. P3 11:37Boyes: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Spacek, Ruutu, Jokinen, Staal, McBain · BUF Boyes, Stafford, Gerbe, Myers, McNabb

  69. P3 12:23Shot by Spacek, saved by Miller5v4
  70. P3 13:07Shot by Staal, saved by Miller5v4
  71. P3 13:31Shot by Staal, saved by Miller5v4
  72. P3 13:41Shot by Brent, saved by Miller
  73. P3 14:17Shot by Adam, saved by Ward
  74. P3 15:18Shot by Nodl, saved by Miller
  75. P3 16:06Shot by Stafford, saved by Ward
  76. P3 16:19Faulk: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Brent, Tlusty, Faulk · BUF Leopold, Pominville, Ellis, Stafford, Gragnani, Adam

  77. P3 16:46Shot by Leopold, saved by Ward4v5
  78. P3 17:27Shot by Stafford, saved by Ward4v5
  79. P3 17:55Adam: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Harrison, Jokinen, Staal, McBain · BUF Hecht, Boyes, Gragnani, Adam, McNabb

  80. P3 18:06Shot by Hecht, saved by Ward4v4
  81. P3 18:29Goal by Sutter (Staal)+5 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Allen, Ruutu, Gleason, Staal, Sutter · BUF Leopold, Boyes, Pominville, Vanek, Myers

  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final