Fri, Jan 6, 2012·RBC Center, Raleigh
Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 55% of the time.
46%
8%
38%
CAR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hecht–Pominville–Vanek | Boyes–Stafford–Gerbe | Gaustad–Ellis–Kaleta | Gaustad–Vanek–Kaleta | Ellis–Adam–Kassian | Roy–Stafford–Gerbe | Hecht–Pominville–Gerbe | Boyes–Adam–Kassian | Gaustad–Kaleta–Gerbe | Hecht–Stafford–Gerbe | Vanek–Adam–Kassian | Myers–McNabb | Gragnani–Weber | Regehr–Leopold | Leopold–Gragnani | Regehr–Weber | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruutu–Jokinen–Staal | 1:050.05–0.08 | 4:320.36–0.66 | 2:070.05–0.16 | 0:390.07–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:330.08–0.05 | 5:190.05–0.43 | 4:540.56–0.43 | 0:520.04–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.09 | ||||||
| Ponikarovsky–Brent–Tlusty | 1:490.00–0.09 | 0:570.05–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 2:500.11–0.12 | 1:340.27–0.00 | 2:170.03–0.43 | 0:330.05–0.00 | ||||||||
| LaRose–Sutter–Bowman | 3:270.10–0.45 | 0:410.13–0.00 | 0:320.04–0.00 | 1:320.09–0.43 | 3:180.31–0.08 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:380.04–0.00 | |||||||||
| LaRose–Nodl–Sutter | 2:030.07–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.25 | 1:240.00–0.26 | 0:340.00–0.01 | 0:330.07–0.00 | 1:310.06–0.18 | ||||||||||
| Stewart–Sutter–Nodl | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.09 | 2:420.00–0.13 | 0:320.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Stewart–Sutter–Bowman | 1:320.14–0.01 | 0:520.00–0.04 | 1:160.14–0.01 | 1:090.00–0.04 | 0:380.13–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Ponikarovsky–Tlusty–Sutter | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| LaRose–Staal–Nodl | 1:010.19–0.00 | 0:390.14–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Harrison–Faulk | 5:210.07–0.57 | 2:510.14–0.27 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:370.01–0.00 | 0:320.22–0.00 | 5:440.17–0.81 | 3:110.06–0.11 | 2:440.00–0.45 | 1:330.22–0.05 | ||||||
| Gleason–McBain | 2:020.12–0.08 | 3:450.49–0.58 | 0:420.05–0.00 | 1:100.04–0.00 | 1:370.08–0.05 | 3:170.07–0.13 | 3:270.41–0.19 | 4:460.49–0.43 | 0:460.04–0.00 | 1:040.14–0.09 | ||||||
| Allen–Spacek | 1:500.12–0.00 | 1:200.05–0.00 | 3:360.06–0.47 | 0:430.07–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.05 | 0:440.00–0.25 | 3:550.05–0.54 | 3:360.16–0.17 | 3:380.35–0.00 | 0:380.06–0.18 | 0:330.05–0.00 | |||||
| Allen–Gleason | 2:000.16–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:280.26–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.03 | 0:450.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Eric StaalCAR | 30 | 23:37 | 0:47 | 2:33 | 6 | 7 |
 Tim GleasonCAR | 27 | 23:37 | 0:52 | 2:14 | 4 | 9 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 26 | 23:30 | 0:54 | 2:52 | 5 | 4 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 31 | 23:08 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 8 | 7 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 31 | 22:55 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 9 | 2 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 29 | 21:12 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 4 | 1 |
 Bryan AllenCAR | 22 | 21:10 | 0:58 | 2:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Tuomo RuutuCAR | 26 | 20:40 | 0:48 | 2:09 | 5 | 5 |
 Brayden McNabbBUF | 29 | 20:34 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 4 | 6 |
 Justin FaulkCAR | 27 | 20:22 | 0:45 | 1:59 | 5 | 1 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 24 | 20:04 | 0:50 | 1:49 | 5 | 2 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 27 | 19:50 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 21 | 19:01 | 0:54 | 2:10 | 6 | 2 |
 Jamie McBainCAR | 23 | 19:00 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 3 | 5 |
 Brad BoyesBUF | 25 | 18:43 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 4 | 2 |
 Jay HarrisonCAR | 25 | 18:37 | 0:45 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Robyn RegehrBUF | 25 | 18:32 | 0:44 | 1:49 | 3 | 5 |
 Jussi JokinenCAR | 27 | 18:15 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 5 | 5 |
 Marc-Andre GragnaniBUF | 25 | 17:52 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 2 | 1 |
 Jaroslav SpacekCAR | 20 | 17:43 | 0:53 | 1:59 | 5 | 1 |
 Brandon SutterCAR | 27 | 16:51 | 0:37 | 1:20 | 1 | 5 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 21 | 16:32 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 3 | 4 |
 Chad LaRoseCAR | 23 | 16:25 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 1 | 2 |
 Paul GaustadBUF | 22 | 13:05 | 0:36 | 1:16 | 2 | 8 |
 Tim BrentCAR | 21 | 12:51 | 0:37 | 1:32 | 6 | 1 |
 Alexei PonikarovskyCAR | 21 | 12:15 | 0:35 | 1:06 | 5 | 1 |
 Patrick KaletaBUF | 21 | 12:08 | 0:35 | 1:16 | 1 | 9 |
 Drayson BowmanCAR | 18 | 11:47 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Jiri TlustyCAR | 20 | 11:38 | 0:35 | 1:12 | 6 | 1 |
 Andreas NodlCAR | 14 | 10:32 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 2 | 0 |
 Luke AdamBUF | 17 | 10:23 | 0:37 | 1:15 | 4 | 1 |
 Brett SutterCAR | 13 | 9:19 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 2 | 0 |
 Anthony StewartCAR | 14 | 9:15 | 0:40 | 1:01 | 2 | 0 |
 Matt EllisBUF | 14 | 8:25 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 1 | 3 |
 Zack KassianBUF | 10 | 6:53 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 3 | 2 |
 Derek RoyBUF | 3 | 1:43 | 0:34 | 0:54 | 2 | 1 |