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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 13, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Stafford, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 1:05Goal by Ellis (Gaustad, Kaleta)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Gaustad, Ellis, Kaleta · TOR Connolly, Komisarek, Lupul, Franson, Kessel

  4. P1 3:53Goal by Gaustad (McNabb, Kaleta)+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gaustad, Ellis, Kaleta, Myers, McNabb · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn

  5. P1 7:11Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  6. P1 7:32Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller
  7. P1 9:15Shot by Pominville, saved by Gustavsson
  8. P1 11:11Shot by Lombardi, saved by Miller
  9. P1 12:33Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  10. P1 12:45Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  11. P1 14:06Goal by Grabovski (Schenn, Gunnarsson)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Gaustad, Ellis, Kaleta, Weber · TOR Crabb, Grabovski, Kulemin, Gunnarsson, Schenn

  12. P1 14:46Shot by Leino, saved by Gustavsson
  13. P1 15:02Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Miller
  14. P1 16:52Goal by Crabb (Grabovski)+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pominville, Ellis, Weber, Myers · TOR Crabb, Phaneuf, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie

  15. P1 17:05Brown: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Gaustad, Ellis, Kaleta, Gragnani · TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, Boyce, Brown, Aulie

  16. P1 19:48Shot by Gerbe, saved by Gustavsson
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:48Shot by Kaleta, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P2 1:56Shot by Adam, saved by Gustavsson
  21. P2 1:57Shot by Adam, saved by Gustavsson
  22. P2 3:03Shot by Gerbe, saved by Gustavsson
  23. P2 3:18Shot by Myers, saved by Gustavsson
  24. P2 3:59Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  25. P2 4:26Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller
  26. P2 4:26Vanek: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Pominville, Vanek, Weber, Myers · TOR Connolly, Lupul, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel

  27. P2 5:41Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Miller4v5
  28. P2 6:47Shot by Komisarek, saved by Miller
  29. P2 7:06Shot by Brown, saved by Miller
  30. P2 8:33Shot by MacArthur, saved by Miller
  31. P2 10:41Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  32. P2 11:14Gerbe: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Leopold, Roy, Stafford, Gerbe · TOR Connolly, Komisarek, Lupul, Franson, Kessel

  33. P2 14:13Goal by Pominville (Vanek)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Hecht, Leopold, Pominville, Vanek, McNabb · TOR Lombardi, MacArthur, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Kadri

  34. P2 14:39Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  35. P2 15:20Shot by Ellis, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 15:24Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson
  37. P2 15:47Gragnani: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Gragnani, Weber, Leino, Adam · TOR Steckel, Boyce, Brown, Aulie, Schenn

  38. P2 17:44Shot by Franson, saved by Miller4v5
  39. P2 18:57Shot by Boyes, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 19:21Shot by Gaustad, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 0:58Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  44. P3 1:09Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  45. P3 2:15Shot by McNabb, saved by Gustavsson
  46. P3 3:59Shot by Kulemin, saved by Miller
  47. P3 4:06Shot by Grabovski, saved by Miller
  48. P3 4:30Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller
  49. P3 6:55Shot by Gerbe, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P3 7:44Kadri: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Boyes, Ellis, Adam, McNabb · TOR Lombardi, Komisarek, MacArthur, Franson, Kadri

  51. P3 8:30Shot by Roy, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  52. P3 8:55Shot by Myers, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  53. P3 9:01Gragnani: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Stafford, Gragnani, Leino, Myers · TOR Komisarek, Steckel, Boyce, Gunnarsson

  54. P3 9:13Shot by Roy, saved by Gustavsson4v4
  55. P3 9:50Shot by Regehr, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  56. P3 11:01Shot by Franson, saved by Miller4v5
  57. P3 11:19Shot by Franson, saved by Miller
  58. P3 12:45Shot by Adam, saved by Gustavsson
  59. P3 15:27Shot by Weber, saved by Gustavsson
  60. P3 15:28Shot by Roy, saved by Gustavsson
  61. P3 16:13Shot by Lupul, saved by Miller
  62. P3 19:32Shot by Kessel, saved by Miller5v6
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final