Fri, Jan 13, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
36%
13%
12%
39%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 26:25 | 0.28 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:33 | 0.06 | 42.7% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 20:51 | 0.21 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.18 | 42.8% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:13 | 0.13 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.10 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:28 | 0.00 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:57 | 0.12 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.00 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.02 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.13 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.11 | 68.1% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.03 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.00 | 55.0% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.00 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.14 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:12 | 0.06 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.48 | −1.5 | 58:57 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 28:16 | 0.01 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:03 | 0.04 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:39 | 0.01 | 16.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.05 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.16 | 32.9% | +23.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.09 | 31.9% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:53 | 0.51 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.02 | 21.9% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.01 | 46.3% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.03 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 64.8% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:41 | 0.14 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.11 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.04 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:41 | 0.22 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:53 | 0.05 | 14.5% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:51 | 0.00 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 1.56 | −0.4 | 60:00 |