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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 15, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 88% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Kennedy, saved by Garon
  3. P1 0:46Stamkos: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Malone, Thompson, Stamkos · PIT Sullivan, Kunitz, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal

  4. P1 1:28Shot by Niskanen, saved by Garon4v5
  5. P1 2:20Shot by Malkin, saved by Garon4v5
  6. P1 2:43Goal by Neal (Martin, Malkin)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, Kubina, Moore, Tyrell · PIT Sullivan, Dupuis, Martin, Malkin, Neal

  7. P1 3:44Shot by Adams, saved by Garon
  8. P1 3:57Shot by Malone, saved by Fleury
  9. P1 4:27Shot by Kunitz, saved by Garon
  10. P1 6:24Labrie: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Moore, Gervais, Downie, Mikkelson, Labrie · PIT Asham, Adams, Martin, Engelland, Tangradi

  11. P1 6:24Engelland: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Moore, Gervais, Downie, Mikkelson, Labrie · PIT Asham, Adams, Martin, Engelland, Tangradi

  12. P1 8:24Shot by Niskanen, saved by Garon
  13. P1 9:42Shot by Kunitz, saved by Garon
  14. P1 10:14Shot by Neal, saved by Garon
  15. P1 10:38Goal by Park, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Pyatt, Gilroy · PIT Park, Sullivan, Cooke, Martin, Michalek

  16. P1 11:23Shot by Adams, saved by Garon
  17. P1 11:24Shot by Adams, saved by Garon
  18. P1 12:02Shot by Malkin, saved by Garon
  19. P1 12:07Kubina: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, St. Louis, Lecavalier, Stamkos · PIT Orpik, Kunitz, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal

  20. P1 12:52Shot by Kunitz, saved by Garon4v5
  21. P1 13:19Shot by Pyatt, saved by Fleury4v5
  22. P1 13:24Shot by Dupuis, saved by Garon4v5
  23. P1 13:42Shot by Kennedy, saved by Garon4v5
  24. P1 15:06Shot by Park, saved by Garon
  25. P1 15:45Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Fleury
  26. P1 16:00Shot by Clark, saved by Fleury
  27. P1 19:43Shot by Thompson, saved by Fleury
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:51Shot by Malone, saved by Fleury
  31. P2 0:59Shot by Kubina, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 2:00Shot by Sullivan, saved by Garon
  33. P2 2:39Shot by Sullivan, saved by Garon
  34. P2 3:18Shot by Kubina, saved by Fleury
  35. P2 4:59Shot by Malone, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 5:25Shot by Downie, saved by Fleury
  37. P2 5:59Shot by Mikkelson, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 6:18Shot by Kennedy, saved by Garon
  39. P2 6:28Shot by Tangradi, saved by Garon
  40. P2 6:46Shot by Tangradi, saved by Garon
  41. P2 7:06Shot by Malkin, saved by Garon
  42. P2 12:01Shot by Jeffrey, saved by Garon
  43. P2 12:13Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Fleury
  44. P2 13:03Shot by Kunitz, saved by Garon
  45. P2 13:43Shot by Michalek, saved by Garon
  46. P2 14:53Downie: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Moore, Thompson, Downie, Gilroy · PIT Asham, Adams, Niskanen, Lovejoy, Tangradi

  47. P2 15:28Shot by Neal, saved by Garon4v5
  48. P2 16:07Shot by Martin, saved by Garon4v5
  49. P2 17:26Shot by Jeffrey, saved by Garon
  50. P2 18:25Shot by Neal, saved by Garon
  51. P2 19:25Shot by Purcell, saved by Fleury
  52. P2 19:44Shot by Cooke, saved by Garon
  53. P2 19:45Downie: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, Malone, Thompson, Downie, Mikkelson · PIT Adams, Cooke, Dupuis, Martin, Michalek

  54. P2 19:57Shot by Kunitz, saved by Garon4v5
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:22Shot by Neal, saved by Garon4v5
  58. P3 0:34Goal by Neal (Malkin, Sullivan)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Thompson, Pyatt · PIT Sullivan, Kunitz, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal

  59. P3 2:00Goal by Gilroy (Stamkos, St. Louis)+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Pyatt, Stamkos, Gilroy · PIT Sullivan, Orpik, Engelland, Tangradi, Jeffrey

  60. P3 3:14Shot by Jeffrey, saved by Garon
  61. P3 4:01Engelland: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Clark, St. Louis, Malone, Stamkos, Gilroy · PIT Park, Sullivan, Cooke, Orpik, Engelland

  62. P3 4:42Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Fleury5v4
  63. P3 4:53Goal by Malone (Lecavalier, Purcell)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Lecavalier, Malone, Purcell, Stamkos · PIT Adams, Dupuis, Orpik, Michalek

  64. P3 5:57Shot by Park, saved by Garon
  65. P3 6:48Shot by Gervais, saved by Fleury
  66. P3 6:50Goal by Purcell (Lecavalier, Gervais)+33 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Lecavalier, Malone, Gervais, Mikkelson, Purcell · PIT Martin, Kennedy, Lovejoy, Tangradi, Jeffrey

  67. P3 7:38Goal by Malkin, unassisted+34 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Moore, Thompson, Tyrell · PIT Martin, Michalek, Kunitz, Malkin, Neal

  68. P3 8:04Shot by St. Louis, saved by Fleury
  69. P3 8:27Shot by Sullivan, saved by Garon
  70. P3 9:27Goal by Malkin (Orpik)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Malone, Moore, Gervais, Purcell · PIT Cooke, Orpik, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal

  71. P3 10:07Shot by Kunitz, saved by Garon
  72. P3 12:11Lecavalier: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Lecavalier, Thompson, Connolly · PIT Michalek, Kunitz, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal

  73. P3 12:11Malkin: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Lecavalier, Thompson, Connolly · PIT Michalek, Kunitz, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal

  74. P3 12:11Lecavalier: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Lecavalier, Thompson, Connolly · PIT Michalek, Kunitz, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal

  75. P3 12:11Lecavalier: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Lecavalier, Thompson, Connolly · PIT Michalek, Kunitz, Malkin, Niskanen, Neal

  76. P3 12:16Neal: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Thompson, Pyatt · PIT Sullivan, Kunitz, Kennedy, Niskanen, Neal

  77. P3 12:16Kubina: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Kubina, Brewer, Thompson, Pyatt · PIT Sullivan, Kunitz, Kennedy, Niskanen, Neal

  78. P3 15:36Shot by Sullivan, saved by Garon
  79. P3 15:58Shot by Clark, saved by Fleury
  80. P3 17:06Shot by Orpik, saved by Garon
  81. P3 18:26Shot by Cooke, saved by Garon
  82. P3 19:04Goal by Malkin, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Malone, Gervais, Purcell, Stamkos, Gilroy · PIT Dupuis, Orpik, Martin, Kunitz, Malkin

  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final