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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 17, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:59Shot by Neil, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 4:28Konopka: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Rosehill, Brown, Franson, Gardiner · OTT Carkner, Konopka, Daugavins, Karlsson, Butler

  4. P1 4:28Brown: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Steckel, Rosehill, Brown, Franson, Gardiner · OTT Carkner, Konopka, Daugavins, Karlsson, Butler

  5. P1 6:51Goal by Lombardi (Connolly, Franson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Lombardi, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gardiner · OTT Phillips, Neil, Carkner, Foligno, Smith

  6. P1 7:36Shot by Kulemin, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 7:42Shot by MacArthur, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 9:22Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 9:28Shot by Daugavins, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 10:02Shot by Butler, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 10:18Shot by Lupul, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 13:24Shot by Lupul, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 14:11Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 7:27Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 14:54Shot by Lombardi, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 15:35Goal by Lupul (Kessel)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Franson, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak · OTT Gonchar, Condra, Turris, Cowen, Butler

  17. P1 16:33Shot by Lombardi, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 16:41Neil: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Lombardi, Crabb, Gunnarsson, Schenn · OTT Phillips, Neil, Carkner, Foligno, Smith

  19. P1 17:15Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Anderson5v4
  20. P1 19:52Goal by Alfredsson (Michalek, Turris)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Kessel, Aulie, Bozak · OTT Alfredsson, Kuba, Michalek, Turris, Karlsson

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:36Shot by Butler, saved by Reimer
  24. P2 1:10Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Anderson
  25. P2 1:17Shot by Franson, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 3:15Shot by Kulemin, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 4:05Shot by Kessel, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 4:22Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 5:11Shot by Franson, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 5:18Shot by Brown, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 5:46Shot by Steckel, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 5:56Shot by Spezza, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 6:14Shot by Grabovski, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 6:48Shot by Kulemin, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 6:50Foligno: Clipping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Schenn · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Foligno, Karlsson, Butler

  36. P2 7:41Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson5v4
  37. P2 8:20Shot by Lupul, saved by Anderson5v4
  38. P2 9:05Shot by Gardiner, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 9:34Shot by Brown, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 9:52Shot by Daugavins, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 10:25Shot by Crabb, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 11:34Shot by Franson, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 11:59Shot by Kulemin, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 12:03Shot by Grabovski, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 12:26Shot by Smith, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 13:03Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 13:16Phaneuf: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Foligno, Karlsson, Butler

  48. P2 13:16Phaneuf: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Foligno, Karlsson, Butler

  49. P2 13:16Foligno: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Grabovski, Kulemin, Aulie · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Foligno, Karlsson, Butler

  50. P2 14:20Shot by Connolly, saved by Anderson4v5
  51. P2 14:48Shot by Gonchar, saved by Reimer4v5
  52. P2 16:46Goal by Spezza (Daugavins, Kuba)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Schenn, Bozak · OTT Kuba, Spezza, Daugavins, Karlsson, Butler

  53. P2 17:59Shot by Lombardi, saved by Anderson
  54. P2 18:57Shot by Neil, saved by Reimer
  55. P2 19:07Shot by Karlsson, saved by Reimer
  56. P2 19:21Shot by Greening, saved by Reimer
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:34Shot by Spezza, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 1:24Goal by Turris (Alfredsson, Cowen)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Connolly, Lombardi, Crabb, Gunnarsson, Schenn · OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Carkner, Foligno, Turris

  61. P3 4:04Shot by Lombardi, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 4:37Shot by Crabb, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 5:46Shot by Brown, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 5:55Shot by Michalek, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 8:40Shot by Brown, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 8:53Shot by Michalek, saved by Reimer
  67. P3 11:10Shot by Grabovski, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 12:33Shot by Condra, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 13:09Shot by Lombardi, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 16:48Shot by Franson, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 17:13Shot by Lombardi, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 18:32Shot by Cowen, saved by Reimer
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final