Tue, Jan 17, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.
73%
13%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 26:37 | 0.01 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
 Filip KubaD · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 26:12 | 0.06 | 38.7% | +23.9 |
 Jared CowenD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.01 | 26.1% | +29.3 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:20 | 0.21 | 31.9% | +23.9 |
 Daniel AlfredssonRW · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.10 | 32.7% | +41.8 |
 Sergei GoncharD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:26 | 0.03 | 24.3% | 0.0 |
 Kyle TurrisC · #7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.02 | 28.5% | +41.8 |
 Milan MichalekLW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.10 | 27.7% | +12.5 |
 Erik CondraRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.17 | 31.2% | 0.0 |
 Zack SmithC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.09 | 48.5% | 0.0 |
 Chris PhillipsD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Colin GreeningC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.04 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick FolignoLW · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.07 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
 Bobby ButlerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.23 | 34.3% | 0.0 |
 Matt CarknerD · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:44 | 0.04 | 41.1% | 0.0 |
 Chris NeilRW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:37 | 0.02 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
 Kaspars DaugavinsLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:10 | 0.08 | 41.1% | +23.9 |
 Zenon KonopkaC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:33 | 0.08 | 37.3% | 0.0 |
 Craig Anderson#41 | W | 39 | 37 | 2 | .949 | 3.07 | +1.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Carl GunnarssonD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:06 | 0.07 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 23:34 | 0.01 | 85.9% | 0.0 |
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.07 | 65.4% | 0.0 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:26 | 0.12 | 54.6% | +12.3 |
 Joffrey LupulLW · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:55 | 0.56 | 48.8% | +12.3 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiC · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:46 | 0.28 | 70.2% | 0.0 |
 Cody FransonD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:35 | 0.04 | 79.4% | +16.8 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.24 | 57.8% | 0.0 |
 Tim ConnollyC · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.16 | 73.4% | +16.8 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.00 | 50.5% | 0.0 |
 Clarke MacArthurLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.32 | 79.4% | 0.0 |
 Nikolay KuleminLW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:02 | 0.25 | 67.7% | 0.0 |
 Matthew LombardiC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15:43 | 0.31 | 73.3% | +16.8 |
 Joey CrabbRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:08 | 0.16 | 77.0% | 0.0 |
 Keith AulieD · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.00 | 63.9% | 0.0 |
 David SteckelC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:35 | 0.02 | 56.2% | 0.0 |
 Mike BrownRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7:38 | 0.45 | 72.7% | 0.0 |
 Jay RosehillLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:24 | 0.00 | 48.4% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#34 | L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.35 | −1.6 | 59:16 |