Tue, Jan 17, 2012·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.
73%
13%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Alfredsson–Michalek–Turris | Neil–Foligno–Smith | Alfredsson–Condra–Turris | Spezza–Greening–Butler | Spezza–Michalek–Greening | Spezza–Foligno–Butler | Greening–Condra–Smith | Spezza–Daugavins–Butler | Neil–Konopka–Daugavins | Foligno–Condra–Smith | Spezza–Greening–Condra | Konopka–Daugavins–Butler | Kuba–Karlsson | Gonchar–Cowen | Phillips–Carkner | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lupul–Kessel–Bozak | 3:570.02–0.08 | 4:140.22–0.10 | 1:040.22–0.08 | 1:130.08–0.01 | 2:360.02–0.18 | 10:030.62–0.22 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| MacArthur–Grabovski–Kulemin | 1:540.00–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.02 | 1:060.34–0.03 | 2:570.05–0.02 | 2:410.13–0.02 | 1:160.11–0.06 | 8:260.60–0.12 | 1:190.11–0.00 | 2:100.05–0.00 | ||||||
| Connolly–Lombardi–Crabb | 0:370.01–0.05 | 4:150.17–0.01 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:410.07–0.01 | 0:510.02–0.07 | 1:010.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 3:440.10–0.12 | 1:520.10–0.01 | 4:460.15–0.01 | |||||
| Steckel–Rosehill–Brown | 0:530.00–0.05 | 0:560.02–0.02 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:500.01–0.06 | 1:250.03–0.00 | |||||||||
| Connolly–Lombardi–Brown | 1:370.25–0.00 | 0:570.23–0.00 | 0:510.02–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Gunnarsson–Schenn | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:230.08–0.00 | 3:190.21–0.10 | 2:250.11–0.08 | 1:090.11–0.14 | 0:490.02–0.00 | 3:550.00–0.24 | 5:370.42–0.20 | 2:440.10–0.00 | ||||||
| Franson–Gardiner | 4:210.31–0.06 | 2:240.04–0.06 | 1:120.02–0.00 | 1:050.14–0.00 | 0:480.13–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 4:210.47–0.05 | 3:160.21–0.00 | 4:350.09–0.07 | ||||||
| Phaneuf–Aulie | 0:590.00–0.04 | 0:540.00–0.02 | 0:450.20–0.03 | 3:290.08–0.02 | 3:320.14–0.23 | 6:560.43–0.33 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 2:550.09–0.00 | |||||||
| Phaneuf–Gardiner | 0:580.02–0.00 | 1:270.01–0.00 | 0:550.08–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 2:180.15–0.02 | 1:360.08–0.00 | 1:060.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Franson–Gunnarsson | 1:470.02–0.09 | 1:110.02–0.05 | 1:320.05–0.05 | ||||||||||||
| Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:360.04–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.02 | 1:190.03–0.00 | 0:350.02–0.07 | |||||||||
| Schenn–Gardiner | 1:070.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||||
| Aulie–Gunnarsson | 1:030.18–0.03 | 0:380.11–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 29 | 26:37 | 0:55 | 1:50 | 2 | 7 |
 Filip KubaOTT | 30 | 26:12 | 0:52 | 1:42 | 2 | 9 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 30 | 24:06 | 0:48 | 1:43 | 7 | 3 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 29 | 23:34 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 3 | 1 |
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 24 | 22:10 | 0:55 | 1:34 | 3 | 1 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 23 | 21:26 | 0:56 | 1:48 | 5 | 4 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 22 | 19:55 | 0:54 | 1:56 | 5 | 3 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 24 | 19:39 | 0:49 | 1:58 | 2 | 7 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 24 | 19:20 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 4 | 1 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 26 | 18:59 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 3 | 8 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 23 | 18:46 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 3 | 0 |
 Cody FransonTOR | 25 | 18:35 | 0:45 | 1:52 | 3 | 2 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 25 | 18:26 | 0:44 | 1:44 | 1 | 5 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 22 | 18:15 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 5 | 4 |
 Tim ConnollyTOR | 24 | 18:11 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 5 | 2 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 23 | 18:09 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 3 | 6 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 24 | 17:57 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 4 | 3 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 20 | 16:32 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 0 | 4 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 26 | 16:21 | 0:38 | 1:30 | 6 | 3 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 22 | 16:16 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 23 | 16:09 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 23 | 16:02 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 2 | 0 |
 Matthew LombardiTOR | 21 | 15:43 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 4 | 1 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 23 | 15:22 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 0 | 4 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 20 | 14:29 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 20 | 14:12 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Joey CrabbTOR | 20 | 14:08 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 3 | 2 |
 Keith AulieTOR | 21 | 13:46 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 2 | 0 |
 Bobby ButlerOTT | 20 | 13:46 | 0:41 | 1:32 | 3 | 3 |
 Matt CarknerOTT | 20 | 13:44 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 0 | 3 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 20 | 12:37 | 0:38 | 0:57 | 3 | 1 |
 David SteckelTOR | 15 | 8:35 | 0:34 | 0:54 | 3 | 2 |
 Kaspars DaugavinsOTT | 14 | 8:10 | 0:35 | 1:07 | 4 | 3 |
 Mike BrownTOR | 13 | 7:38 | 0:35 | 0:57 | 4 | 1 |
 Zenon KonopkaOTT | 12 | 5:33 | 0:28 | 1:00 | 2 | 5 |
 Jay RosehillTOR | 11 | 5:24 | 0:29 | 1:13 | 3 | 1 |