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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 7, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Los Angeles Kings 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.

TBL winsLAK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against LAK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Williams–Brown–KopitarStoll–Richards–PennerLewis–Loktionov–CliffordHunter–Fraser–RichardsonHunter–Fraser–CliffordScuderi–DoughtyMitchell–JohnsonGreene–MartinezJohnson–Martinez
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Shannon1:310.07–0.005:100.04–0.201:430.07–0.001:020.23–0.003:080.10–0.005:160.06–0.200:330.04–0.000:400.23–0.00
Moore–Thompson–Pyatt6:470.04–0.071:370.07–0.112:280.00–0.113:460.03–0.061:320.07–0.01
Downie–Purcell–Stamkos1:190.08–0.002:020.23–0.003:500.10–0.020:520.09–0.004:290.15–0.022:410.33–0.000:440.00–0.00
St. Louis–Lecavalier–Stamkos0:400.00–0.001:220.00–0.370:370.00–0.000:410.02–0.002:530.04–0.370:400.00–0.00
Shannon–Downie–Purcell0:510.01–0.000:390.00–0.000:300.00–0.121:000.01–0.000:540.00–0.00
St. Louis–Purcell–Stamkos0:410.00–0.140:390.00–0.101:120.00–0.12
St. Louis–Hall–Wyman0:480.02–0.041:240.14–0.13
Moore–Shannon–Pyatt0:470.00–0.021:000.00–0.02
Kubina–Brewer8:310.12–0.151:290.00–0.041:570.04–0.013:130.12–0.125:350.03–0.063:040.00–0.130:400.02–0.00
Clark–Hedman2:440.00–0.004:530.03–0.081:220.32–0.000:320.00–0.003:500.03–0.024:430.11–0.081:030.00–0.000:450.23–0.00
Gervais–Mikkelson1:080.06–0.001:150.09–0.003:440.07–0.000:590.09–0.003:190.07–0.001:100.11–0.002:040.11–0.00
Bergeron–Hedman0:450.02–0.000:500.01–0.000:390.00–0.001:560.08–0.100:420.00–0.00
Brewer–Bergeron1:070.07–0.020:590.29–0.002:130.37–0.02
Brewer–Hedman1:210.00–0.140:470.00–0.371:240.00–0.421:110.00–0.12
Bergeron–Mikkelson1:100.00–0.230:500.00–0.110:390.00–0.12
Clark–Kubina0:460.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPyatt FMoore FThompson FSt. Louis FLecavalier FShannon FDownie FPurcell FStamkos FWyman FHall FBrewer DKubina DClark DHedman DGervais DMikkelson DBergeron DRoloson GKopitar FWilliams FBrown FRichards FPenner FStoll FClifford FLewis FLoktionov FFraser FHunter FRichardson FJohnson DMitchell DScuderi DDoughty DGreene DMartinez DQuick G
TBLLAKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Drew DoughtyLAK2626:441:022:2223
Martin St. LouisTBL2425:241:042:0942
Dustin BrownLAK2623:240:541:3541
Rob ScuderiLAK2523:210:562:0213
Anze KopitarLAK2623:140:541:3542
Willie MitchellLAK2622:340:522:0115
Eric BrewerTBL2522:050:531:3523
Steven StamkosTBL2321:420:572:0971
Victor HedmanTBL2621:300:501:3743
Jack JohnsonLAK2421:050:531:4123
Justin WilliamsLAK2420:520:521:3341
Vincent LecavalierTBL2120:501:002:0942
Pavel KubinaTBL2420:190:511:2723
Ryan ShannonTBL2119:310:561:3241
Teddy PurcellTBL2219:300:531:3771
Steve DownieTBL2118:350:531:3760
Dominic MooreTBL1916:580:541:5212
Mike RichardsLAK2516:330:401:0528
Jarret StollLAK2416:330:411:0527
Nate ThompsonTBL1914:480:471:3013
Brendan MikkelsonTBL1814:420:491:2532
Tom PyattTBL1814:410:491:3514
Brett ClarkTBL1913:590:441:0411
Trevor LewisLAK2013:570:421:1722
Dustin PennerLAK2213:450:380:5925
Kyle CliffordLAK2013:280:401:3322
Marc-Andre BergeronTBL1813:160:441:2040
Alec MartinezLAK1313:121:012:0611
Matt GreeneLAK1613:040:491:1904
Bruno GervaisTBL1511:270:461:1022
Andrei LoktionovLAK1711:250:401:2522
Colin FraserLAK107:290:451:3300
Trent HunterLAK96:500:461:3300
Brad RichardsonLAK106:300:391:0400
Adam HallTBL105:300:331:1511
JT WymanTBL52:350:310:5410