Tue, Feb 14, 2012·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 77% of the time.
14%
8%
70%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Alfredsson–Greening–Turris | Spezza–Michalek–Butler | Daugavins–Condra–Smith | Neil–Foligno–O'Brien | Alfredsson–Spezza–Michalek | Kuba–Karlsson | Gonchar–Phillips | Lee–Cowen | Lee–Karlsson | Gonchar–Karlsson | Gonchar–Lee | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downie–Purcell–Stamkos | 2:360.05–0.10 | 1:290.07–0.00 | 2:390.04–0.06 | 2:290.02–0.00 | 4:370.07–0.08 | 1:110.00–0.05 | 2:220.07–0.03 | 0:550.03–0.00 | |||
| St. Louis–Lecavalier–Malone | 2:190.12–0.00 | 1:560.18–0.09 | 1:220.01–0.03 | 1:030.01–0.06 | 1:040.01–0.00 | 5:450.31–0.19 | 0:410.05–0.07 | ||||
| Moore–Shannon–Pyatt | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.01 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 3:470.06–0.01 | |||||
| Moore–Thompson–Pyatt | 1:130.00–0.03 | 1:280.00–0.03 | 1:340.00–0.05 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||
| St. Louis–Malone–Stamkos | 2:020.04–0.00 | 2:470.08–0.03 | |||||||||
| Hall–Thompson–Wyman | 1:060.01–0.02 | 1:000.01–0.02 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.05 | 0:330.01–0.00 | 0:490.01–0.00 | |||||
| Malone–Downie–Stamkos | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Hall–Wyman–Shannon | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.03 | 1:130.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Lecavalier–Downie–Purcell | 0:510.05–0.00 | 1:060.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Lecavalier–Malone–Purcell | 0:300.00–0.53 | 0:310.01–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.53 | ||||||||
| Moore–Shannon–Downie | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| St. Louis–Downie–Stamkos | 0:470.02–0.00 | 0:420.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Clark–Hedman | 4:250.09–0.06 | 1:130.00–0.02 | 3:320.01–0.05 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 3:160.03–0.00 | 3:470.06–0.06 | 3:150.01–0.07 | 0:510.04–0.00 | ||
| Kubina–Brewer | 3:210.14–0.11 | 3:150.05–0.06 | 1:200.00–0.03 | 1:330.00–0.06 | 4:590.09–0.06 | 4:310.10–0.22 | 1:160.00–0.00 | ||||
| Gervais–Mikkelson | 0:510.04–0.00 | 1:020.07–0.00 | 1:470.04–0.10 | 3:030.01–0.06 | 3:420.09–0.06 | 1:280.00–0.14 | 2:040.13–0.06 | ||||
| Kubina–Hedman | 1:420.05–0.05 | 1:460.01–0.00 | 1:470.05–0.05 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:300.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Brewer–Gervais | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:130.11–0.00 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:240.03–0.06 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:000.11–0.00 | |||
| Kubina–Mikkelson | 0:370.00–0.02 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Clark–Gervais | 0:500.00–0.01 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.01 | 0:380.07–0.06 | |||||||
| Brewer–Hedman | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:390.10–0.07 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:300.10–0.00 | |||||||
| Clark–Mikkelson | 1:230.00–0.01 | 1:290.00–0.01 | |||||||||
| Clark–Brewer | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Gervais–Hedman | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Brewer–Mikkelson | 0:400.01–0.00 | 0:540.04–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 31 | 25:35 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 4 | 9 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 27 | 25:02 | 0:56 | 1:54 | 5 | 3 |
 Filip KubaOTT | 28 | 23:31 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 5 | 4 |
 Eric BrewerTBL | 23 | 21:49 | 0:57 | 2:09 | 4 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 22 | 21:31 | 0:59 | 1:55 | 5 | 3 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 29 | 21:18 | 0:44 | 1:55 | 1 | 4 |
 Pavel KubinaTBL | 27 | 20:58 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 4 | 4 |
 Martin St. LouisTBL | 22 | 20:02 | 0:55 | 2:26 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan MaloneTBL | 22 | 19:34 | 0:53 | 1:13 | 6 | 2 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 28 | 19:30 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 1 | 4 |
 Brett ClarkTBL | 28 | 18:55 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 5 | 5 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 27 | 18:52 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 4 | 5 |
 Steve DownieTBL | 19 | 18:45 | 0:59 | 1:49 | 3 | 3 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 25 | 18:19 | 0:44 | 1:09 | 4 | 2 |
 Kyle TurrisOTT | 23 | 18:03 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 1 | 6 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 22 | 17:52 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 4 | 2 |
 Vincent LecavalierTBL | 21 | 17:41 | 0:51 | 1:59 | 3 | 2 |
 Teddy PurcellTBL | 20 | 17:16 | 0:52 | 1:32 | 5 | 2 |
 Bruno GervaisTBL | 21 | 16:31 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 5 | 0 |
 Jared CowenOTT | 19 | 15:50 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 1 | 3 |
 Dominic MooreTBL | 17 | 15:36 | 0:55 | 1:27 | 3 | 2 |
 Colin GreeningOTT | 21 | 15:15 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 1 | 4 |
 Tom PyattTBL | 19 | 15:07 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 3 | 4 |
 Brendan MikkelsonTBL | 24 | 15:03 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 7 | 1 |
 Brian LeeOTT | 17 | 14:49 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 20 | 13:39 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 3 | 4 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 17 | 13:10 | 0:46 | 1:54 | 2 | 3 |
 Bobby ButlerOTT | 17 | 12:43 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 4 | 1 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 19 | 12:32 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 2 | 2 |
 Kaspars DaugavinsOTT | 17 | 12:23 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Jim O'BrienOTT | 20 | 12:11 | 0:37 | 1:30 | 2 | 4 |
 Ryan ShannonTBL | 13 | 11:56 | 0:55 | 1:35 | 1 | 1 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 17 | 11:01 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Nate ThompsonTBL | 15 | 10:02 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 2 | 4 |
 Adam HallTBL | 11 | 6:39 | 0:36 | 0:58 | 0 | 1 |
 JT WymanTBL | 9 | 5:26 | 0:36 | 1:26 | 0 | 1 |