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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 7, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Final

Overtime

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 79% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:44Shot by Regehr, saved by Ward
  3. P1 1:16Shot by LaRose, saved by Miller
  4. P1 2:47Goal by Spacek (McBain, Jokinen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Kaleta, Gerbe, Leino, Myers · CAR Spacek, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain, Skinner

  5. P1 3:05Shot by Hodgson, saved by Ward
  6. P1 3:18Myers: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Myers · CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Staal, Sutter

  7. P1 4:14Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller4v5
  8. P1 5:08Shot by Brent, saved by Miller4v5
  9. P1 6:05Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Ward
  10. P1 6:54Shot by Roy, saved by Ward
  11. P1 7:18Shot by Samson, saved by Miller
  12. P1 7:22Shot by Joslin, saved by Miller
  13. P1 7:26Shot by Spacek, saved by Miller
  14. P1 8:29Shot by Gerbe, saved by Ward
  15. P1 8:30Harrison: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber, Leino · CAR Harrison, LaRose, Nodl, Sutter, Faulk

  16. P1 9:50Shot by Leopold, saved by Ward5v4
  17. P1 11:30Shot by Myers, saved by Ward
  18. P1 15:23Allen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Weber · CAR Allen, Gleason, Staal, Stewart, Tlusty

  19. P1 16:27Shot by Hodgson, saved by Ward5v4
  20. P1 17:47Shot by LaRose, saved by Miller
  21. P1 18:07Shot by Brent, saved by Miller
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:22Goal by Myers (Kaleta, Leopold)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Kaleta, Gerbe, Leino, Myers · CAR Harrison, Staal, Stewart, Tlusty, Faulk

  25. P2 0:20Shot by Myers, saved by Ward
  26. P2 0:33Jokinen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Roy, Pominville, Vanek, Weber · CAR Allen, Gleason, Jokinen, LaRose, Skinner

  27. P2 0:49Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward5v4
  28. P2 0:53Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward5v4
  29. P2 0:59Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward5v4
  30. P2 1:02Goal by Vanek (Ehrhoff, Pominville)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Boyes, Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek · CAR Allen, Gleason, Staal, Tlusty

  31. P2 0:58Shot by Pominville, saved by Ward5v4
  32. P2 1:56Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  33. P2 2:53LaRose: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta, Gerbe, Leino · CAR Spacek, LaRose, Nodl, McBain, Sutter

  34. P2 3:42Shot by Boyes, saved by Ward5v4
  35. P2 3:43Shot by Boyes, saved by Ward5v4
  36. P2 5:11Goal by LaRose (Skinner)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Kaleta, Weber, Hodgson, Ennis · CAR Allen, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain, Skinner

  37. P2 5:50Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward
  38. P2 6:21Shot by Roy, saved by Ward
  39. P2 6:30Shot by Boyes, saved by Ward
  40. P2 7:44Shot by LaRose, saved by Miller
  41. P2 8:36Shot by Samson, saved by Miller
  42. P2 9:39Shot by Myers, saved by Ward
  43. P2 10:01Shot by Myers, saved by Ward
  44. P2 13:19Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward
  45. P2 14:53Shot by Staal, saved by Miller
  46. P2 15:47Shot by Skinner, saved by Miller
  47. P2 16:17Shot by Sutter, saved by Miller
  48. P2 16:54Shot by Sulzer, saved by Ward
  49. P2 17:29Shot by Gerbe, saved by Ward
  50. P2 18:43Shot by Spacek, saved by Miller
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:18Shot by Sulzer, saved by Ward
  54. P3 1:32Jokinen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Hodgson, Ennis · CAR Spacek, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain, Skinner

  55. P3 2:12Shot by Hodgson, saved by Ward5v4
  56. P3 2:35Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Ward5v4
  57. P3 2:49Shot by Boyes, saved by Ward5v4
  58. P3 2:54Shot by Roy, saved by Ward5v4
  59. P3 3:36Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward
  60. P3 3:41Shot by Gerbe, saved by Ward
  61. P3 3:50Shot by LaRose, saved by Miller
  62. P3 3:56Shot by McBain, saved by Miller
  63. P3 4:34Shot by Brent, saved by Miller
  64. P3 5:08Stafford: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Leopold, Stafford, Hodgson, Myers, Ennis · CAR Harrison, Staal, Stewart, Tlusty, Faulk

  65. P3 6:29Roy: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Weber, Myers · CAR Jokinen, LaRose, Brent, Stewart, McBain

  66. P3 7:41Shot by Harrison, saved by Miller4v5
  67. P3 8:12Shot by Ellis, saved by Ward4v5
  68. P3 9:15Shot by Nodl, saved by Miller
  69. P3 13:25Shot by Weber, saved by Ward
  70. P3 13:30Jokinen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Regehr, Kaleta, Gerbe, Weber, Leino · CAR Spacek, Jokinen, LaRose, McBain, Skinner

  71. P3 14:06Shot by Staal, saved by Miller5v4
  72. P3 15:54Shot by McBain, saved by Miller
  73. P3 16:07Shot by Gerbe, saved by Ward
  74. P3 16:32Shot by Leino, saved by Ward
  75. P3 17:11Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward
  76. P3 18:55Shot by Ennis, saved by Ward
  77. P3 19:05Allen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Kaleta, Gerbe, Leino · CAR Allen, Gleason, Dwyer, Nodl, Sutter

  78. P3 19:50Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward5v4
  79. P3 19:57Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Ward5v4
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 0:38Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Ward4v3
  83. OT 0:56Goal by Pominville (Ehrhoff, Vanek)4v3+48 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Roy, Pominville, Ehrhoff, Vanek · CAR Gleason, Harrison, Staal

  84. OT 0:56Period end
  85. OT 0:56Final