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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 7, 2012·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 79% of the time.

BUF winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Jokinen–LaRose–SkinnerDwyer–Nodl–SutterStaal–Stewart–TlustyBrent–Staal–TlustyHarrison–FaulkAllen–GleasonSpacek–McBain
Stafford–Hodgson–Ennis5:020.25–0.111:350.00–0.001:140.00–0.013:390.13–0.092:280.01–0.003:500.13–0.06
Roy–Pominville–Vanek0:540.04–0.002:460.14–0.121:250.07–0.001:030.07–0.055:480.21–0.070:330.00–0.00
Kaleta–Gerbe–Leino0:520.05–0.071:090.00–0.042:390.19–0.001:380.16–0.004:250.59–0.041:210.06–0.002:150.07–0.10
Boyes–Ellis–Tropp1:250.00–0.070:320.02–0.000:400.01–0.001:500.02–0.000:440.00–0.07
Ehrhoff–Sulzer1:190.00–0.013:190.10–0.070:380.06–0.003:110.20–0.073:060.14–0.002:100.00–0.01
Leopold–Myers3:280.11–0.131:020.00–0.002:510.20–0.011:080.16–0.005:550.36–0.092:020.08–0.002:050.05–0.13
Regehr–Weber3:230.13–0.351:110.00–0.041:110.14–0.041:480.00–0.083:370.14–0.22
Ehrhoff–Myers1:350.11–0.110:350.01–0.000:460.11–0.000:350.01–0.000:550.00–0.06
Regehr–Leopold0:400.07–0.101:100.07–0.07
Regehr–Sulzer
Ehrhoff–Weber0:380.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Regehr–Myers0:380.00–0.020:480.00–0.02
Leopold–Weber
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndLeino FKaleta FGerbe FHodgson FStafford FEnnis FRoy FPominville FVanek FBoyes FEllis FTropp FLeopold DMyers DWeber DRegehr DEhrhoff DSulzer DMiller GStaal FStewart FTlusty FJokinen FSkinner FLaRose FSutter FDwyer FNodl FSamson FBrent FFaulk DHarrison DMcBain DSpacek DAllen DGleason DJoslin DWard G
BUFCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jordan LeopoldBUF2924:490:511:5361
Christian EhrhoffBUF2824:310:531:2182
Justin FaulkCAR3324:050:441:33510
Tim GleasonCAR2923:290:491:4606
Derek RoyBUF2621:470:501:1872
Tyler MyersBUF2821:400:461:5372
Jason PominvilleBUF2621:240:491:1882
Eric StaalCAR3321:090:381:3848
Bryan AllenCAR2820:540:451:4605
Jay HarrisonCAR3020:340:411:2439
Thomas VanekBUF2319:470:521:2970
Drew StaffordBUF2218:590:521:2440
Brandon SutterCAR2618:540:441:1809
Jeff SkinnerCAR2518:350:451:1965
Jussi JokinenCAR3018:160:371:2637
Jiri TlustyCAR2918:020:371:1745
Cody HodgsonBUF2017:360:531:2750
Tyler EnnisBUF1917:320:551:2740
Jamie McBainCAR2217:060:471:4212
Robyn RegehrBUF2516:480:401:1234
Chad LaRoseCAR2615:210:351:1925
Jaroslav SpacekCAR2214:360:401:0632
Patrick DwyerCAR2614:320:340:5508
Alexander SulzerBUF1914:060:451:3552
Brad BoyesBUF1813:480:461:18111
Patrick KaletaBUF2113:360:391:1333
Nathan GerbeBUF1912:370:401:3232
Mike WeberBUF2012:140:371:0920
Andreas NodlCAR1611:410:441:1802
Ville LeinoBUF1811:360:391:1342
Tim BrentCAR1610:470:401:1712
Anthony StewartCAR168:590:340:5921
Jerome SamsonCAR127:330:381:2401
Corey TroppBUF127:300:381:0060
Matt EllisBUF127:240:370:5651
Derek JoslinCAR126:510:341:0800