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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 17, 2012·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 1

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 70% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:58Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 4:17Shot by Greening, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 5:02Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 8:58Shot by Lombardi, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 9:23Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 10:13Shot by Steckel, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 10:26Shot by Greening, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 11:22Gonchar: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Klinkhammer, Turris, Cowen · TOR MacArthur, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak

  10. P1 11:22MacArthur: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Klinkhammer, Turris, Cowen · TOR MacArthur, Kessel, Schenn, Gardiner, Bozak

  11. P1 11:44Shot by Greening, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 13:09Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 15:29Shot by Greening, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 15:59Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 18:03Ashton: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Condra, Smith, Gilroy, Butler · TOR Grabovski, Frattin, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton

  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 1:16Shot by Karlsson, saved by Reimer
  19. P2 1:23Shot by Phillips, saved by Reimer
  20. P2 2:42Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Reimer
  21. P2 3:05Shot by Smith, saved by Reimer
  22. P2 3:13Shot by Ashton, saved by Bishop
  23. P2 6:13Shot by Ashton, saved by Bishop
  24. P2 6:17Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bishop
  25. P2 6:26Shot by Karlsson, saved by Reimer
  26. P2 7:20Goal by Connolly, unassisted+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Condra, Smith, Karlsson, Butler · TOR Connolly, Crabb, Grabovski, Schenn, Gardiner

  27. P2 7:31Shot by Kessel, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 8:15Shot by Butler, saved by Reimer
  29. P2 12:24Shot by Phillips, saved by Reimer
  30. P2 12:47Shot by Connolly, saved by Bishop
  31. P2 13:03Shot by Gonchar, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 13:15Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 13:18Shot by Foligno, saved by Reimer
  34. P2 13:23Shot by Neil, saved by Reimer
  35. P2 13:23Foligno: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen · TOR Grabovski, Frattin, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton

  36. P2 13:23Schenn: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen · TOR Grabovski, Frattin, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton

  37. P2 13:23Grabovski: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen · TOR Grabovski, Frattin, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton

  38. P2 13:23Neil: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen · TOR Grabovski, Frattin, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton

  39. P2 13:23Grabovski: Game misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen · TOR Grabovski, Frattin, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton

  40. P2 13:23Grabovski: Game misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen · TOR Grabovski, Frattin, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton

  41. P2 13:23Neil: Game misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Neil, Foligno, O'Brien, Cowen · TOR Grabovski, Frattin, Schenn, Gardiner, Ashton

  42. P2 13:56Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 15:30Shot by Cowen, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 17:10Shot by Komisarek, saved by Bishop
  45. P2 19:43Shot by Smith, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 19:44Shot by Condra, saved by Reimer
  47. P2 19:45Connolly: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Greening, Condra, Smith, Gilroy · TOR Connolly, Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gardiner

  48. P2 19:45Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phillips, Greening, Condra, Smith, Gilroy · TOR Connolly, Steckel, Crabb, Phaneuf, Gardiner

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:27O'Brien: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Alfredsson, Phillips, O'Brien · TOR Liles, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Bozak

  52. P3 0:53Goal by Kessel (Gardiner, Bozak)3v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Condra, Cowen · TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak

  53. P3 1:24Steckel: Holding (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson · TOR Steckel, Phaneuf, MacArthur, Gunnarsson

  54. P3 2:22Shot by Spezza, saved by Reimer5v4
  55. P3 2:23Komisarek: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · TOR Connolly, Komisarek, Crabb, Gardiner

  56. P3 2:23Michalek: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Karlsson · TOR Connolly, Komisarek, Crabb, Gardiner

  57. P3 2:34Phaneuf: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Gonchar, Spezza, Greening, Karlsson, Butler · TOR Connolly, Lombardi, Phaneuf, Gunnarsson

  58. P3 3:51Shot by Schenn, saved by Bishop5v4
  59. P3 4:01Shot by Greening, saved by Reimer5v4
  60. P3 4:34Shot by Smith, saved by Reimer5v4
  61. P3 6:52Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 7:56Foligno: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Foligno, Turris, Karlsson, Butler · TOR Komisarek, Steckel, Crabb, MacArthur, Gunnarsson

  63. P3 10:41Shot by Ashton, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 11:07Alfredsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Michalek, Turris, Karlsson, Gilroy · TOR Komisarek, MacArthur, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  65. P3 11:07Foligno: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Alfredsson, Michalek, Turris, Karlsson, Gilroy · TOR Komisarek, MacArthur, Kessel, Gunnarsson, Bozak

  66. P3 12:02Goal by Phaneuf (Kessel, Gardiner)3v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Phillips, Condra · TOR Phaneuf, MacArthur, Kessel, Gardiner, Bozak

  67. P3 13:07Shot by Lombardi, saved by Bishop4v5
  68. P3 14:02Shot by Turris, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 14:27Shot by MacArthur, saved by Bishop
  70. P3 15:31Komisarek: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Foligno, O'Brien, Smith, Karlsson · TOR Liles, Komisarek, Armstrong, Steckel, Rosehill

  71. P3 15:31Foligno: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Foligno, O'Brien, Smith, Karlsson · TOR Liles, Komisarek, Armstrong, Steckel, Rosehill

  72. P3 15:31Rosehill: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Foligno, O'Brien, Smith, Karlsson · TOR Liles, Komisarek, Armstrong, Steckel, Rosehill

  73. P3 17:43Shot by Butler, saved by Reimer
  74. P3 18:51Goal by Greening (Kuba, O'Brien)0 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kuba, Phillips, Greening, O'Brien, Smith · TOR Liles, Komisarek, MacArthur, Kessel, Bozak

  75. P3 19:19Shot by Kuba, saved by Reimer6v5
  76. P3 19:55Shot by Michalek, saved by Reimer6v5
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final